February 15, 2026

Central Asia Watch

Blurb:

 

The UN Secretary-General congratulated the Islamic Republic of Iran on the anniversary of its revolution.

Yes — congratulated.

This is the same regime accused of unleashing one of the bloodiest crackdowns in its modern history, gunning down its own citizens for the crime of demanding basic freedom. While Iranian families bury their dead, the head of the world’s so-called premier humanitarian body sends warm wishes to their oppressors.

Blurb:

Iran’s atomic energy chief says Tehran is open to diluting its highly enriched uranium if the United States ends sanctions, signalling flexibility on a key demand by the US.

Mohammad Eslami made the comments to reporters on Monday, saying the prospects of Iran diluting its 60-percent-enriched uranium, a threshold close to weapons grade, would hinge on “whether all sanctions would be lifted in return”, according to Iran’s state-run IRNA news agency.

Eslami did not specify whether Iran expected the removal of all sanctions or specifically those imposed by the US.

Blurb:

 

The U.S. delegation, led by Steve Witkoff, on Friday, conducted two rounds of inconclusive talks with the Iranian regime negotiators in the Gulf Arab state of Oman amid alarming reports that Tehran is relocating its weapons-grade nuclear material and rebuilding its ballistic missile stockpile.

“The U.S. and Iran held several hours of nuclear negotiations in Oman on Friday, and officials from both countries indicated they expect further meetings in the coming day,” Axios reported. “These were the first face-to-face talks between the U.S. and Iran since the 12-day war last June.”

President Donald Trump’s promise to Iranian protestors that “help is on the way” has now been followed up by peace talks with the regime that murdered 30,000 plus Iranians for whom help never came. Even as Iran has hijacked two oil tankers and kidnapped the sailors, the President continues to go forward with the peace talks in Qatar that have just begun.

Blurb:

Iran Has Seized Two Foreign Oil Tankers in the Persian Gulf – townhall.com

 Tensions have risen in the Middle East as Iran has reportedly seized to foreign-crewed oil tankers in Gulf waters.

Blurb:

UAE calls on Iran to reach nuclear deal with US

The Middle East does not need another confrontation between the US and Iran, and Tehran should reach a nuclear deal with Washington, Anwar Gargash, diplomatic adviser to the UAE president, said today.

Speaking at a panel at the World Governments Summit in Dubai, Gargash said the region had already endured a series of “calamitous confrontations” and warned against further escalation.

Blurb:

The last time Ottawa resident Mahnoosh Naseri spoke to her father, he had decided to take to the streets of Tehran to protest the Iranian regime.

It was Jan. 7 and Iranians fed up with the corruption, economic mismanagement and repressive religious rules of the regime were rallying like never before.

Two days later, her father left his apartment to join the demonstrators and never came home. It took his family four days to find him. He had been shot dead.

“He didn’t care anymore about his safety. What he cared about was the future of Iranian children,” Naseri told Global News in an interview.

Almost a month after Iranians mounted their biggest challenge to the Islamic regime that has ruled them for a half century, the shocking death toll is becoming more clear.

The protests began in late December and were growing by the day on Jan. 8, when Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of Iran’s deposed Shah, called for mass demonstrations.

Millions marched in major cities, reassured by U.S. President Donald Trump, who had vowed that if Iran killed protesters, he would “come to their rescue.”

The uprising was the largest since the 1979 Islamic revolution, and fighters loyal to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei responded with predictable violence. Activists say tens of thousands may have been killed.

To cover up the carnage, the regime cut off internet access, but as the bodies have piled up, families like Naseri’s have been finding out just how bad it was.


Hossein Naseri, seen here in Canada in 2025, was killed by Iran’s regime forces on Jan. 9.

Handout

“This has touched a lot of people in the community,” said Ali Ehsassi, an Iranian-Canadian and the Member of Parliament for the Willowdale riding in Toronto.

Ehsassi said he had been hearing from community members whose friends and relatives had been detained or killed, and that Jan. 8 and 9 were “particularly bloody.”

While he did not know the Canadian government’s casualty estimates, the regime’s own figures mean it ranks as one of the bloodiest confrontations of its type in modern history.

“I have no doubt that the number of people who have died is very, very high, even by the standards of the Iranian regime,” the MP said in an interview.

In recent interviews, Global News spoke to Iranian-Canadians about the fate of those close to them who participated in the anti-regime events of Jan. 8 and 9.

“Slowly we learned the truth, and the truth was a massacre had taken place,” said Azam Jangravi, a tech industry professional in Toronto.

Among the casualties were 10 family members, Jangravi said, including one who was shot in the chest at a demonstration in Iran’s third-largest city, Esfahan.

The relative did not die at first but was afraid to seek medical help because the security forces were trolling hospitals to arrest protesters, she said.

After hiding in a house for two days, he succumbed to his injuries, said Jangravi, who fled Iran after she was convicted of showing her hair in public.


Muhammad Reza Madani was killed by Iranian security forces, according to his family in Ottawa.

Handout

Another Iranian-Canadian, Pieman Azimi, said his nephew, a 20-year-old mechanic, had been gunned down during the demonstration.

His family searched police stations and hospitals for a day until finding him among the sea of bodies, said Azimi, who lives in Ottawa.

Another Ottawa resident described the shooting of a friend, who survived a bullet to the waist. Later, the friend told her how the suppression tactics had escalated.

“The first two days, they were shooting with paintballs,” said Nona Dourandish. “And then they decided to bring in military powers and their special units.”

The authorities used drones to monitor the city, and when a crowd gathered to chant anti-regime slogans, gunmen were quickly on the scene, she said, relaying her friend’s account.

“He said basically they were shooting people in their face, in their chest, so they would not get up. So they would not survive,” Dourandish said.

 

A retired accountant, shot dead

Naseri was close to her father, Hossein. “I can’t believe that my dad is gone,” she said. Harder still to believe was that he was among so many killed that day.

When Naseri was growing up in Tehran, she said she was repeatedly taken into custody for violating the regime’s strict dress code for women.

Her infractions included not covering all her hair with a headscarf and wearing shirts and pants that were deemed too short or too tight, she said.

Following the regime’s brutal crackdown against women’s rights advocates in 2022, she joined her brother in Ottawa in September 2023.


Hossein Naseri, seen here in Ottawa last year, joined the protests in Iran and was shot dead, family members said.

Handout

A 73-year-old retired Tehran accountant, her father visited her in Ottawa last summer. He spent three months in the capital, attending her wedding and her brother’s graduation ceremony.

“I’m so glad that I had the chance to show him some cities in Canada. He really loved the nature here, the museums and the freedom,” Naseri said.

Although he disliked the Islamic government, Hossein had previously refrained from taking part in protests, fearing that it could impact his two children.

But early last month, Naseri spoke to him on WhatsApp, and he had decided that it was time to go out to support the demonstrations.

“He told me, ‘I know you are safe. You are there. There is no danger for you two. And right now I feel free to go and, like others, ask for what we want,’” she said.

Hossein left home at about 7 p.m. on Jan. 9, she said.

Videos and eyewitness testimony amassed by Amnesty International show that, on that night, security forces positioned themselves on rooftops and opened fire.

The “deadly crackdown” was carried out primarily by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Iranian police, the human rights organization said.

Thousands died, making last month “the deadliest period of repression by the Iranian authorities in decades of Amnesty’s research,” according to the group.


Anti-government protest in Tehran, Iran, Jan. 9, 2026. (UGC via AP, File).

Naseri began to worry when she didn’t hear from her father. She sent a message to a friend who had internet access. A week later, her aunt called.

The family had searched through bodies until finding Hossein. He had been shot in the main artery in his leg, his daughter said.

Communicating with her family has been a challenge, amid fears that international calls are being monitored. Naseri still knows very little about what happened, but she believes her father could have been saved had made it to a hospital.

She blames the Revolutionary Guard, whose mission is to defend the Islamic government from both internal and external threats. “The IRGC has long experience killing protesters.”

The Mujahedin-e-Khalq, an anti-regime militant group, announced Hossein’s death, calling him one of the “martyrs of the heroic nationwide uprising.”

Canada joined Australia and the European Union on Jan. 9 in condemning “the killing of protestors, the use of violence, arbitrary arrests, and intimidation tactics by the Iranian regime against its own people.”

But Deputy Conservative leader MP Melissa Lantsman said the federal government had to do more than issue statements.

“Canada must exploit the regime’s fragility,” she said in a statement to Global News that called on the government to set up a registry for those engaged in foreign interference.

She also urged Ottawa to expel members of Iran’s regime who have arrived in Canada, and to “work with allies to keep information flowing freely to the brave Iranian people.”

“Anything would be a step above nothing.”


Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei at a graduation ceremony for Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Tehran, Oct. 13, 2019. Photo by SalamPix/ABACAPRESS.COM.

Liberal MP Ehasassi said the government was working on a collective response together with allies, and that Canada had already listed the IRGC as a terrorist group.

But Ehsassi said Canada has been “well ahead” of other countries in adopting measures against Iran, including banning senior regime members from the country.

Last week, the European Union followed suit, sanctioning the Revolutionary Guard, saying that “Repression cannot go unanswered.”

“Our officials in various departments are in touch with each other, deciding what there is that we can possibly do,” Ehsassi said. “Obviously, I would like to see us do a lot more. I think the Iranian-Canadian community would like to see that,” he said.

“And I have every confidence that there are going to be a suite of measures.”

The U.S. has been moving military assets to the Middle East, and on Monday, Trump warned Iran of “bad things,” but he has so far refrained from an attack and Khamanei said an American strike would trigger a regional war.

Naseri thinks the era of an Iran run by extremist mullahs has come to an end. “This protest shows that the people of Iran, they don’t accept this regime anymore.”

“They don’t want it.”

Stewart.Bell@globalnews


from globalnews.ca

Blurb:

“When we bring down the Islamic regime in Iran, the world will see real peace again.”

150,000 people took to the streets of downtown Toronto on Sunday to march in solidarity with the people of Iran and call for regime change and freedom from the authoritarian Islamic regime. Many carried photos of Iranian protestors who have been killed by the regime during their ongoing crackdown against civilians. Many similar massive events have been occurring in Toronto and around the world in recent weeks.

Blurb:

For those of us who fled the Islamic Republic decades ago, watching the images of mosques burning across our homeland evokes a complex, visceral cocktail of emotions. To the outside observer, a mosque in flames is a tragedy of religious intolerance. But to the Iranian people – and specifically to those of us who have lived under the suffocating veil of theocratic absolute power – these fires are not acts of “terrorism.” They are acts of exorcism.

We are witnessing more than a political protest; we are seeing a definitive, civilizational uprising against the very concept of the Islamic state. As the smoke rises from Tehran to Mashhad, it signals the end of a forty-seven-year experiment in forced piety. The Iranian people are not just demanding a change in government; they are demanding the return of their soul – a soul that was systematically suppressed in 1979.

To understand why an ex-Muslim Iranian might cheer for the destruction of a “house of God,” one must understand what the mosque has become in the Islamic Republic. For decades, the regime has used the mosque not as a sanctuary, but as a command center.

Blurb:

PARIS: Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has ordered the start of nuclear talks with the United States, local media said on Monday (Feb 2), after US President Donald Trump said he was hopeful of a deal to avert military action against the Islamic republic.

Following the Iranian authorities’ deadly response to anti-government protests that peaked last month, Trump has threatened military action and ordered the dispatch of an aircraft carrier group to the Middle East.

While piling pressure on Iran, Trump has maintained he is hopeful of making a deal, and Tehran has also insisted it wants diplomacy while vowing an unbridled response to any aggression.

Blurb:

Women have been raped and mutilated after standing up to the regime as protests sweep the country, it has been claimed.

Journalist Michel Abdollahi claims this brutal treatment is being used to instil “maximum fear.”

Speaking on social media. He said, “No women’s bodies are turning up, or very few. And that’s because, according to eyewitness accounts, they are being raped, their uteruses removed, their scalps ripped off along with their hair and their bodies covered in cigarette burns.”

He added that the Islamic Republic “uses rape as a weapon against its people.”

Blurb:

President Donald Trump warned Iran to “come to the table” Wednesday as the United States moves a powerful naval force into the region, signaling that military action remains firmly on the table if Tehran refuses to negotiate.

Trump confirmed the deployment of the USS Abraham Lincoln and its strike group, describing the move as a direct message to Iran’s leadership and a demonstration of American resolve.

“A massive Armada is heading to Iran. It is moving quickly, with great power, enthusiasm, and purpose. It is a larger fleet, headed by the great Aircraft Carrier Abraham Lincoln, than that sent to Venezuela. Like with Venezuela, it is, ready, willing, and able to rapidly fulfill its mission, with speed and violence, if necessary,” Trump wrote on Truth Social.

Blurb:

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has issued a stark warning to Tehran’s leadership, vowing that any attack on Israel would be met with “a force that Iran has never seen before”. The declaration comes as tensions in the Middle East reach a dangerous new peak, fuelled by a volatile mix of nationwide protests in the Islamic fundamentalist republic, the arrival of a massive US aircraft carrier strike group, and bellicose rhetoric from Washington.

The prospect of World War 3 has shifted from a distant anxiety to an immediate geopolitical concern. Military experts warn that a major war in the Middle East could ignite a global conflagration by drawing in world powers through alliance commitments.

Blurb:

DONALD Trump has launched war game exercises across the Middle East as the main thrust of his Iran attack force moves into position.

Tensions spiked as America’s air commanders announced a readiness exercise to prepare to hammer the rogue Islamist state with “combat air power” after the killing of up to 36,500 protesters in recent weeks.

Blurb:

As an American carrier strike group closes in on Iran, a new report said its leader is living in hiding.

U.S. Central Command said in a post on X that the carrier USS Abraham Lincoln and its support ships are “currently deployed to the Middle East to promote regional security and stability.”

Blurb:

 

 

The world watches closely as the brave people of Iran protest against the Islamic Republic (IR) regime. Regime security forces have killed thousands of people as part of a crackdown on the protests, with an estimate placing the death toll for January 8 and 9 at more than 36,500. President Trump urged Iranians to “keep protesting,” telling them that “help is on the way.”

Blurb:

In my column last week about the situation in Iran (“The Fog of Prewar in Iran”), I wrote:

Many commentators, noting Trump’s oft-proclaimed desire for “peace on earth,” believe he has paused to see if negotiations with Iran might end the slaughter. I doubt it. Trump’s desire for peace is perfectly genuine. But I note that the last time he said he wanted “peace on earth” was when he was asked whether he had any New Year’s resolutions just a couple of weeks ago. That was mere hours before he unleashed hell against the Venezuelan tyrant Nicolás Maduro, extracting him and his wife from their heavily fortified compound in Caracas and whisking them to New York in a stunning and perfectly executed special operations raid.

Iran’s Islamist regime and friend of the Democratic Party has murdered its way to secure its tottering Empire, for now. This comes after tens of thousands of its own citizens were murdered in the streets by the regime’s assassins. Ayatollah Khamenei has bragged about the slaughter, declaring, “We broke the back of the rioters. The day of the successful crackdown will be remembered as a day of celebration for years to come.”

While it is known that China has been infusing Iran with military toys, reports of it sending troops to discourage an anticipated American intervention (with a carrier group heading to the region even as I write this) have not been substantiated by our standards. Still, it bears taking note and it could be a factor into why the President hasn’t acted so far despite telling the protesters, “Help is on the way.” See last week’s issue feature for more on the President’s unfulfilled promise.

Blurb:

Iran’s latest warning to retaliate “with everything we have” if the United States launches new military strikes is not a surprise. It is the predictable result of years of half-measures, muddled deterrence, and a foreign policy that tried to manage Tehran instead of confronting what its regime really is.

In a recent op-ed, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi claimed that protests in Iran began peacefully but were hijacked by “foreign and domestic terrorist actors.” He accused the United States of exploiting unrest and blamed President Donald Trump’s rhetoric for escalating violence.

Blurb:

Khamenei today: “We broke the back of the rioters. The day of the successful crackdown will be remembered as a day of celebration for years to come.”

He has become so emboldened that he is shamelessly calling the massacre of tens of thousands of Iranians a “celebration.”

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is speaking like a man who believes he has won. As nationwide protests subside and U.S. threats go unenforced, Iran’s supreme leader has openly branded the mass killing of protesters a “celebration,” boasting that the regime “broke the back of the rioters.” His rhetoric reflects an emboldened regime claiming victory, shifting blame for its own atrocities onto the United States, and signaling to Iranians—and the world—that terror, not restraint, remains the Islamic Republic’s chosen instrument of rule.

Blurb:

In an interview broadcast Tuesday night, President Donald Trump told NewsNation host Katie Pavlich that he left instructions to wipe Iran “off the face of this earth” if he’s assassinated.

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei posted multiple threats against Trump on social media, including depicting the president in a coffin. Trump said during the episode of “Katie Pavlich Tonight” that a violent death at the hands of an assassin would bring dire consequences to the theocratic regime.

Blurb:

A young soldier who refused to obey orders to shoot protesters during one of Iran’s most intense waves of nationwide unrest has been sentenced to death, a human rights group reported on Tuesday.

The Iran Human Rights Society (IHRS) identified the soldier as Javid Khales, who was arrested during the nationwide protests of 1404, a major wave of anti-regime demonstrations from late 2025 to early 2026 calling for an end to the country’s current dictatorship.

“According to informed sources, when faced with the command to shoot at protesting people, he refused to execute the order, leading to his immediate arrest and the opening of a case against him,” IRS said.

Blurb:

Around 422,000 people signed contracts with the Russian military last year, a 6% drop from 2024, the deputy chair of Russia’s Security Council said Friday.

The exact reasons for the slight decrease are unclear, although some Russian regions are reported to have cut the size of their military sign-up bonuses last year due to economic strain.

“A couple of words about the results from last year. The supreme commander-in-chief’s goal has been met: 422,704 people signed military contracts,” Dmitry Medvedev said in a video posted on his social media account.

The figure he gave for 2024 was around 450,000.

Blurb:

The son of Iran’s late shah said Friday he is confident the Islamic Republic will fall amid mass protests and called for international intervention.

“The Islamic Republic will fall — not if, but when,” Reza Pahlavi told a news conference in Washington. “I will return to Iran.”

Pahlavi has lived in exile in the United States since the 1979 Islamic revolution toppled his pro-Western father.

Many protesters have chanted Pahlavi’s name in mass protests that swept Iran, which the regime in Tehran violently suppressed. At least 2,572 people have been killed in the crackdown, according to human rights organisations, although some sources claim the toll could reach 15,000.

Pahlavi said he wants to serve as a figurehead to lead a transition to a secular democracy, despite detractors.

Pahlavi has repeatedly called for intervention by US President Donald Trump, who has not acted despite several warnings to Tehran.

“Iranian people are taking decisive actions on the ground. It is now time for the international community to join them fully,” Pahlavi said.