Early Voting

Dems panic as Republicans bank record-breaking early votes in key states– www.theblaze.com
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Less than two weeks from the presidential election, Republicans are breaking turnout records for early voting and mail-in ballots across several key states.

In previous election cycles, Democrats have overwhelmingly outperformed Republicans when it comes to voting early. In 2020, over 22 million Democrats voted early, while just 15 million Republicans and nearly 12 million independents did the same.

Although more Democrats have voted early, Republicans are actually outperforming them in some crucial swing states.

Early voting was notably higher in 2020 due to the pandemic, but the trend remains true for previous election cycles. In 2016, just eight million Republicans voted in advance, as well as nearly 10 million Democrats and five million independents.

All-Mail Blue State’s Early Voting Numbers Show Razor-Thin Margin– trendingpoliticsnews.com
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A deep-blue state’s early voting figures show a razor-thin gap between the two major parties, according to The Denver Post.

The Colorado Secretary of State’s official numbers have revealed that Democrats are ahead of Republicans by only 22,000 ballots with over 635,000 ballots already returned, a significant development in the all-mail-in voting state. The data, released Wednesday, marks the first update since ballots were sent out to all registered voters in mid-October, with options to return by mail or via drop boxes.

The largest segment of voters so far is independents, however, with nearly 250,000 ballots returned. Democrats have submitted around 200,000 ballots, while Republicans trail with approximately 178,000. As of Tuesday, the majority of ballots—about 65%—have come from voters aged 55 and older, with more women participating than men. Early returns across all groups show a slower pace than in 2020, with this year’s 636,597 ballots falling short of the 1.27 million cast by this point four years ago.

Early voting in NC’s lone toss-up congressional race may favor GOP
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About 1.38 million ballots have been accepted in the general election through Monday, down roughly 500,000 votes compared to 2020, but a deep dive into voter turnout data indicates a diverging trend among North Carolinians based on political party.

Democrat turnout is down 43% statewide, with 483,000 voters casting ballots, while Republican participation is down 6.3% compared to 2020, with 464,000 voters having cast their ballots so far,

Jim Blaine, a Republican political consultant, called North Carolina’s GOP turnout “unprecedented” on X and said the party ‘won’ in early voting on Monday for a second time since it began last Thursday.

VoteTracker shows early voting by political party.

If Early Vote Trend Continues, Trump Wins– www.breitbart.com
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Early vote trends in swing states favor of former President Donald Trump and suggest “the election will be over on election day before we know who votes,” political analyst Mark Halperin said Tuesday on The Morning Meeting.

The trends will likely cause the Harris campaign to hit the panic button in the coming days with increased heated rhetoric meant to drive turnout among its supporters.

Halperin, an analyst who attempts to report data without spin, said the early vote in Nevada and North Carolina looks strong for Trump, which is far “more important than the polls right now.” Surveys show Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump virtually tied in all seven battleground states.

In Nevada, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, Republicans’ early vote trends look strong:



“We don’t know exactly who’s casting these ballots, how they’re voting, etc. But every analyst I’ve talked to in the last 24 hours, including people who speak publicly, say, ‘If this continues, Donald Trump can’t lose because the Democrats can’t possibly do well enough on election day,’” Halperin explained.

The 2020 election is a difficult benchmark to extrapolate to date, but the data appears to be in favor of Trump, Halperin added:

We don’t know what turnout is going to be like. This is a cycle coming out of the COVID cycle. Lots of things are shaken up, but I’ll say again, two things no one will tell you, no matter how partisan they are, no one will tell you that the early voting data is anything but scary for Democrats so far, and if on election day this trend continues, the election will be over on election day before we know who votes.

Early Voting Data From Historically-Blue Counties Shows Stunning Shift In Race– trendingpoliticsnews.com
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With the 2024 election just two weeks away, new early voting data from key Florida counties indicates a noticeable shift that could reshape the presidential race. Traditionally strongholds for Democrats, these counties are showing unexpected Republican leads in early voting figures—a potential boost for former President Donald Trump as he campaigns against Vice President Kamala Harris in a high-stakes sprint to Election Day.

Republicans have gained ground in several prominent Florida counties, the data show, with early voting results revealing surprising Republican leads in historically blue territories. Here’s the current breakdown as of day 2 of early voting:

  • Duval County: R+4.6
  • Miami-Dade County: R+12.8
  • Palm Beach County: R+17.2
  • Hillsborough County: R+15.4
  • Pinellas County: R+25.5

Republicans see hints of an early voting edge over Democrats– www.washingtonexaminer.com
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The Trump campaign is cautiously optimistic about early voting data from the seven battleground states two weeks before polls close on Nov. 5.

It’s a turnaround from 2020 when Republicans once ceded the early voting advantage to Democrats as members of the GOP traditionally voted on Election Day and former President Donald Trump criticized absentee ballot or mail-in voting as vehicles for fraud.

Although not all states collect partisan early voting information and an increasing number of voters identify as independent or unaffiliated, the data underscores potential problems for Vice President Kamala Harris, with little time to course correct.