February 15, 2026

China Fourth Plenum

If you judge by the actions of the Fourth Plenum, you’d have had reason to believe Chairman Xi staved off the challenge to his authority. After it was confirmed by Chinese state press that Ma Xingrui, one of Xi’s strongest lieutenants, has been detained by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI), it appears he did not completely silence real dissent from within. The CCDI is controlled by military leadership.

The next target appears to be Cai Qi, the director of the Central Office, who hasn’t been seen or heard from in several weeks. Should Cai Qi not re-emerge, the move would be seen as the military seeking to assert more sovereignty apart from CCP leadership, which is the source of Xi’s power over the military at present.

Blurb:

CCP Under Siege: Zhang Youxia Personally Detains Xi Loyalist Cai Qi  Vision Times
from news.google.com

Political shockwaves are once again rippling through Beijing as two of leader Xi Jinping’s most powerful lieutenants — men once seen as untouchable — are now rumored to be under direct scrutiny from China’s military investigators. According to reports, former Xinjiang Party Secretary Ma Xingrui has reportedly been taken away for a probe by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI).

Meanwhile, Politburo Standing Committee member and Central Office (Zhongban) Director Cai Qi (who hasn’t been seen in public for weeks) remains radio silent. Now, new reports allege that on Nov. 8, military discipline inspectors escorted him out of a Guangzhou hotel. The Politburo acts as China’s top ruling body.

Analysts believe the military is zeroing in on two of the most sensitive posts in the Party-state system: Cai Qi, director of the Central Office (who oversees the Central Guard Bureau), and Wang Xiaohong, China’s minister of public security — the two most important positions tied directly to physical control of the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) top ranks.

Blurb:

Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim today said Chinese Premier Li Qiang has agreed to accelerate talks on the South China Sea Code of Conduct (COC) with Asean member states.

Anwar said the Chinese leader’s remarks came after the bloc stressed that all maritime disputes in the South China Sea be resolved based on a mutually-agreed code of conduct during the recent Asean-China Summit.

“All agreed that this region should not be an area of contestation for superpowers,” Anwar told reporters after the closing ceremony of the 47th Asean Summit and Related Summits, here, today.

“Their presence is accepted. We work with some maritime initiatives with the Americans and conduct traditional military exercises with Australia, New Zealand, Malaysia and Singapore.

Blurb:

True to form, Xi’s regime claims that the military leaders swept up by his latest purge – including General He Weidong, a member of the Politburo, Vice Chair of the Central Military Commission, and the third-highest-ranking figure in China’s military hierarchy – committed “disciplinary violations” and “duty-related crimes.” But a more plausible explanation is that Xi is playing an interminable game of Whac-a-Rival, desperately trying to preserve his grip on power.
Xi’s fears are not entirely misplaced: each new purge deepens mistrust among China’s elite and risks turning former loyalists into enemies. From Mao Zedong to Joseph Stalin, there is ample evidence that one-man rule breeds paranoia. By now, Xi may well have lost the ability to distinguish allies from foes. At 72, Xi remains so insecure in his position that, unlike even Mao, he has refused to designate a successor, fearing that a visible heir could hasten his own downfall.
None of this bodes well for China. By refusing to lay the groundwork for an eventual leadership transition, Xi sharply increases the risk that the end of his rule – however that comes – will usher in political instability. In the meantime, Xi’s emphasis on personal fealty over ideological conformity is weakening institutional cohesion in a system once grounded in collective leadership. Coupled with his arbitrary firings and prosecutions, Chinese governance is now increasingly defined by sycophancy and anxiety, rather than competence and consistency.
China’s military is paying a particularly steep price for Xi’s insecurity. In recent years, the PLA has undergone sweeping structural reforms aimed at transforming it into a modern fighting force capable of “winning informationized wars.” But Xi’s purges risk undermining this effort by disrupting military planning and leadership. For example, his abrupt removal in 2023 of the leaders of the PLA’s Rocket Force, which oversees China’s arsenal of nuclear and conventional missiles, may have jeopardized China’s strategic deterrent.

The Chinese Communist Party’s Fourth Plenum was held from October 20-23. The results of the plenum itself are unclear, though the fact that the results are unclear in and of itself should tell you the current head of the party, Xi Jinping, is losing (or has lost) control. Getting information about China’s internal political machinations is difficult as anti-China propagandists are prone to hype China’s real issues while China advocates don’t recognize they have them.

One “rumor” that has the most credibility is Xi losing some power, specifically losing his control of the Central Military Commission. One fact not disputed is 11 top officials were axed, with nine of them, all Generals, being called out for taking insubordinate action. The nine generals are all close Xi allies, with two being considered both his right- and left-hand man. Beyond that, MIA will continue to monitor the feeds for more data to support a clearer reality of the consequence of the contested fourth plenum.

Blurb:

Xi’s Grip on Power Falters Amid Military Shake-Up and Rising Successor Hu Chunhua  Vision Times
from news.google.com

As the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) convenes for its long-delayed Fourth Plenary Session, held from Oct. 20-23, speculation is mounting over a potential power shake-up inside Zhongnanhai — the Party’s political nerve center. Historically, such meetings have often signaled major realignments within the CCP’s top echelons.

Multiple unverified leaks circulating online suggest that Xi Jinping, long seen as China’s most dominant leader since Mao Zedong, may soon lose his position as Chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC) — the post that grants him command over the People’s Liberation Army (PLA).

Other reports claim Xi’s movements are now under strict control, while rival factions have allegedly prepared two separate plans for handling his political future.

Xi to step down as military chief

Following the downfall of CMC Vice Chairman He Weidong, who was recently expelled from the Party after an internal investigation, the seven-member CMC has been reduced to just four officials. The Politburo (the CCP’s top ruling body) has also quietly shrunk from 24 members to 23.