z1b Situation Report

Originally published Jan 16, 2026 for our weekly Issue of Mindful Intelligence Advisor.  Subscribe to get weekly issues.

STAFF

INTRODUCTION

This is not a full analysis of world events, but rather an analysis of bellwether events, regions, trends, and countries that tell the overarching story of the world in January 2026, which is still the struggle to define the new order as the old order comes crashing down around them.

Our analysis is from an Americanist perspective, nested within our Christian belief system.

Our last Bellwether report in our December 2025 issue began with the announced resignation of Klaus Schwab from the World Economic Forum. This month, President Trump’s invasion of Davos marks the official death of the globalist project. This was not just done with speeches, but, leading up to Davos, with an action against Venezuela that made it clear America was playing solely in its own self-interest, not in the interest of the global order.

At home, America versus Progmerica is beginning to form, and the battle between ICE agents and Progmerican insurrectionists is clarifying that division. DNC media outlets are openly spreading provable knowable lies about ICE agents that are clearly intended (in our opinion) to incite more violence against them and their family members.

As the ICE wars rage, good economic news for the American republic is buried by this criminal press. Trump’s tariff strategy, for instance, is bringing in billions in revenue and helping to restore American industry (especially the steel industry). The news is not all good on the economic front as major companies continue to announce tens of thousands of layoffs ahead for 2026.

The inchoate state of the American republic compared to the Progmerican Empire is what has advantaged the Progmericans for a while now. Progmericanism has been smuggled in, from on top, using American words with Progmerican definitions. Americans were mostly partly Progmericans, without realizing it, so they could no longer clearly see how antithetical to American values Progressivism is.

We are beginning to see that inchoate state more clearly form as people in this land are being forced to discover the differences between Progmerican values and American ones, and, fortunately, so far, most are choosing America. Let us hope that continues and accelerates in the coming weeks and months.

This report was completed on January 29, 2026

A. AMERICA

The ICE Wars now dominate the American landscape with media outlets becoming increasingly overt in their war messaging, a war message aimed directly at the heart of the American republic. So far, no conservative leader, including President Trump, has openly called the media an information terrorist organization illegally campaigning for the Democrat Party even though it is obvious at this point what the media is doing.

This fact alone makes one question how much of the old Progmerican infrastructure this regime wants to hold on to. To us, it would seem he wants to hold on to more than we had hoped for. He wants to hold on to the potential for media power for his faction is what we suspect.

We keep getting teases of serious 2020 election investigations, and we get another tease this month after FBI agents seized the ballots and ballot records from Fulton County, GA for that election. This could be what leads to the final undoing of the DNC in America, but this writer will believe it when the DNC leadership is convicted and punished.

Should the election be proven to have been fraudulent, this would give President Trump the power to do what we have been calling him to do since 2017, declare a state of insurrection, follow that up by declaring the Democrat Party a terrorist organization, seize its assets (its media, its corporations), remove Democrats from all state institutions, including government and the schools, arrest the leaders and punish the leaders that are duly convicted (through a Rule of Law process).

The 2026 election will obviously look radically different should the 2020 election be rightly overturned. Barring that, the DNC has a better-than-average chance at retaking both the U.S. House and Senate, which would mean more terror, more chaos for Americans should that happen.

For a taste of what’s to come, look no further than New York and Virginia, where Democrats coming in to power have moved swiftly to cement Progmerica as the Rule of Law in the land over American Rule of Law.

Mayor Mamdani is already opening the coffers to illegal aliens and telling New Yorkers they need to “renegotiate their relation to the state,” and Governor Spanberger is already moving to confiscate Virginians’ guns. Progmerican Virginia is also moving to double their politicians’ pay immediately, as government grifters are wont to do.

Both seem fully committed to violating the constitution openly for as long as they can get away with it, hoping to establish Progmerican Rule of Law (social-based justice) so the final impediment to full Progmerican power, individual-based Rule of Law, becomes precedented out of existence.

A 2020 Election Overturn and the criminalization of the DNC would end their reigns, but short of that, their terms will be filled out by violence, hate, and economic disaster, leaving both the state and the city husks of their former glory.

Right now, the 2026 election looks tight, but should the economic boom happen that some think is coming, the Democrats might be struggling for an effective competing message outside of promising more murdering of babies and confiscating of guns. Their days of sinking campaigns with charges of racism and homophobia are over, they’ll have to stand on their own apocalyptic record (which will be seen in the regions in which they continue to rule).

B. WORLD

The state of the world in our December 2025 SitRep was radically different than the state of the world today. As a news analyst and aggregator (see our aggregation work at mindfulintelligence.news), never have there been more major news events happening daily in my 20-plus years of work. Stories that don’t show up in our Global Outlook reports would have been top stories in more stable times.

While everyone saw the writing on the wall, now they know for sure; unless they can topple American power, the UN project is dead. China is still desperately trying to save it, for it understands the UN is an American carburetor, an intentional impediment to her real power/

With the capture of Maduro from underneath China’s protection by the U.S., the global order was served notice.

That notice was cemented in Davos as Trump and his team continue to serve notice to the global order that America was taking its proverbial ball and heading home and also NOT heading home.

Greenland continues to serve as a Bellwether of the struggle between Europe’s hopes for moral restraint that only serves their interests and America’s hopes of having a secure homeland in the wake of weak “allies” whose values are increasingly anathema to ours.

Before the next issue, we might see TWO significant regime changes, one in China and one in Iran, though we might also see more internal violence as Xi in China and Khamenei in Iran murder their way to consolidated power (but at great cost to both nations).

In China, we could see Xi fall but the CCP still retain power, though we believe if Xi is replaced, even if by the CCP, the CCP’s hold on the country will be even more tenuous than it already is unless it makes drastic reforms that will effectively end its complete police-state power.

1. VENEZUELA – When the United States quickly invaded Venezuela and surgically removed their President, Nicholas Maduro, China and Russia lost a potential future base and the global order lost its illusion of parity with the United States. The capture of Maduro, though, wasn’t just about shutting down what Trump is alleging is a Cartel state, it was about getting information about Maduro’s connections to the Dominion voting machines involved in counting the ballots for the 2020 election.

News of the FBI’s investigation into Fulton County Georgia’s 2020 election ballots legitimizes those claims. Since Maduro’s capture, the U.S. has received greater cooperation from the current regime, but the administration warned them recently that they need to do more or risk further punitive action.

2. DAVOS – This was our bellwether story, which you can read about on pg. 2. Davos was the official death of the global world order and a scramble for a new one that yet contains the raw power of the United States. This could push Europe towards China, which some view as a real threat to America but we view as a gift.

What is becoming more and more apparent is that the EU’s values are increasingly becoming aligned with China’s and less aligned with America’s, though the natives on the streets would far prefer American values over Chinese, or Progmerican (they’re virtually the same at this point) values.

3. CHINA – Chairman Xi has his hands full at home as conflicting reports overall suggest China’s leader has barely survived, so far, an ongoing coup attempt. He is doing so by eviscerating his top experts, including military experts, which are causing many to question the real power of China in its current state.

His second in command, Zhang Youxia, was the leader of the coup, but was captured and arrested. He hasn’t been killed yet because his father was one of the founders of the People’s Liberation Army and he is the ONLY General in the Chinese military that has EVER seen combat. He is a national treasure. Experts within China suggest he is far more popular than Xi, so simply disappearing him would be a risky move.

Even as Xi struggles at home, he continues to aggressively work against American interests, pressuring nations to continue to rely on the Old World Order, international law defined by the United Nations, a plea Europeans might be tempted to listen to, but one that further makes America’s point about how useless it has become to American interests.

If they do, this will only help America in the long-term, should Europe rise as a rival to her power. China will be to Europe what the Ottoman Empire was to the allies in World War Two, an albatross draining resources and offering little to nothing in return.

4. IRAN – What started as a hope for the end of a bloodthirsty regime has so far turned into a slaughter that tops 30,000 dead. In our last issue, we covered the dilemma Trump has, having promised the protestors “help is on the way,” but so far not delivering that help.

An Armada is on the way, the Gerald R. Ford Carrier group, and Trump is offering the regime one last chance to negotiate a peace that does NOT include nuclear arms for Iran.

Should the regime fall, the source of the EXPLOSION of Islamist terror in the world would be gone. Russia and China would suffer a far greater geopolitical defeat with the loss of Iran than they did with Venezuela. Israel would find itself in a much more secure position, with her neighbors most likely being more inclined to normalize relations (without fear of terror sponsored by Iran from within their own nations).

5. SOUTH KOREA – It is becoming increasingly apparent that South Korea may be viewed as a write-off for the Trump administration. The seizure of South Korea by their Democrat Party invited the CCP into the country, with the proof coming in the form of new censorship laws.

Expect U.S. troop downsizing in South Korea soon as the President just informed South Korea, they will have to fend for themselves against all conventional threats. This could be an opportunity for the CCP or another liability, another expense that could help accelerate their demise.

It goes without saying that the end of the CCP in China would make the Democrats in South Korea vulnerable to the pushback that might come their way, a pushback a new China might help rather than hinder.

6. GAZA WAR/MIDDLE EAST – Through the Gaza Peace Deal, President Trump is hoping to start what looks increasingly like a replacement for the UN he is calling the Board of Peace. So far, many Middle East countries have joined while European ones are passing, for now. It seems there is still hope for the UN to continue (but without the U.S.) after its death was announced at Davos.

Hope for Hamas preserving power is diminishing, with even Turkey now attempting to help negotiate Hamas’ disarmament. Mahmood Abbas of the Palestinian Authority has announced Hamas would not be on the ballot.

The finality of the war was punctuated when the remains of the last Israeli hostage was returned, setting off demonstrations of grieving, relief, and celebration.

7. UK – America’s mother country, Britain, is speed-running through the same anti-human dark ideology of Progmerica’s Democrat Party, “wokeness.” But as it is doing this, while continuing to import violent men from violent countries explicitly to inflict harm on the English devil, the English are finding themselves and realizing they still overwhelmingly outnumber the invaders.

So far, though, their commitment to remaining unarmed persists despite the clear evidence that the one country infected with wokeness that has managed to beat back its onslaught had armed citizens fully comfortable with well-armed neighbors. That country, of course, is America.

Starmer appears to be doing everything he can to further antagonize the English, even cancelling local elections because he knows his party will be gutted as a result. But it’s not just cancelling elections, it’s continuing to harass, prosecute, and arrest British citizens for saying hurty words online even as he pushes to effectively make speaking against Islam a criminal offense.

One can only imagine Starmer is not aware of his country’s own history, or that Starmer imagines the English spirit is dead. Signs point to that spirit being reignited again, especially among young boys who can see for themselves how their schools teach good things about Islam and bad things about their own country.

Rather than programming them, however, the schools are saying the quiet parts out loud, at long last, and even the children are now noticing.

As they lurch into full-on totalitarianism, Starmer is also handing over London to China, betting on an alliance with China to offset his growing antagonism to the U.S. This foreign policy is wildly unpopular with the English, as is Keir Starmer. Never has a PM been more unliked than this PM since polling began. His recent trip to Beijing yielded token reductions of a few tariffs, nothing more.

B. CULTURE

The Minneapolis Church Ambush by Don Lemon and his horde of insurrectionists crossed an American cultural line that the Democrats will not be able to walk back from so easily, especially given their reaction to the violation of private worship for violent political means (and there was violence, intimidation, and the terrorizing of children).

They compared it to Jesus turning over the tables in the Temple, not realizing what they were saying, which is that they are Jesus and the temple is theirs. THAT is the authority Christ operated in, NOT the authority of violent political insurrectionists at war with America. Not only was the temple his, HE is the temple.

They continue to own this violation as their judges protect the criminals, either by refusing to charge them or giving them a cashless bail. For now, this is to their favor, but when the dust settles, we will surely revisit the left’s efforts to normalize political violence in private places of worship. Nothing symbolizes the depth of treason in Progmericans’ hearts than their gleeful support of this thuggery.

In Progmerican states, abortions are on the rise, mostly through the unborn baby murder pill that is still being sold over the counter despite numerous health risks. Another dangerous effect of allowing anyone to buy this dangerous drug is the ease with which it can be used by others to murder unborn children they don’t want by slipping the death pill in the mother’s food or drink.

Shockingly, after JUST taking power, Progmerican Virginia wants to pass an amendment to allow the murdering of unborn children up to birth.

While euthanasia’s spread to France was halted (for now), Canada continues to relax its rules on its own euthanasia laws despite increasing evidence some people are manipulating family members to kill themselves.

C. MARKET

President Trump continues to use tariffs as geopolitical tools in much the same way they were used until the 20^th century, with mixed results. On one hand, a lot of economic indicators are up, including inflation (which is down, which is an up for the economy). On the other hand, there are major layoffs coming from Amazon and UPS.

If the tariffs deliver the promised tax rebates, their popularity may be secured, and SCOTUS might have a harder time ending a program that could be shown to have powerfully positive effects for America (though the jury is still out on that).

Overall, though, signs point to an economy about to take off after a lot of first-round infrastructure work is coming online as a result of President Trump’s “Marshall Plan” for the U.S. in the form of $18 trillion in foreign investments. Even the World Bank has now taken notice and anticipates an economic acceleration.

The month ended with the finalization of the transfer of power of TikTok to primarily American interests from CCP interests. While the CCP loses its access to American data, and affecting TikTok’s algorithm, they will continue to make money they can use to fund the military they hope one day to defeat us with.

Should the CCP collapse, China’s profiting off of TikTok would most likely not be such a threat.

D. SCI-TECH

If you “Trust the Science,” you really “Trust the Ideology” says Breakthrough Institute, who claims academic journals have a strict ideological filter that allows sloppy work for the ideologically pure to get peer-reviewed. That same ideological filter blocks excellent work of the ideologically unorthodox or neutral from getting peer reviews. The findings only affirm what we could see for ourselves for decades, Progmerican “scientists” are political activists, not scientists.

The international global network may face even more challenges as “Big Social” is set to be hemmed in by parochial nationalist interests the world over, especially in growing totalitarian states like the UK (who view the free discourse of human thought as an existential threat to the power they built with the lie that the Englishman invented evil).

One great innovation done by President Trump was the insistence that America’s new AI infrastructure include power plants built right where the AI infrastructure is built. The plan is for rapid AI expansion to be fed by power outside the grid, meaning it will not be an energy tax on the land. The President has yet to address the high-water demand of AI, which is not as easy a fix as energy.

SYNTHESIS SUMMARY

Be sure to read our quarterly sitrep in our April 10, 2026, issue for our Predictive Analysis for the next quarter.

The world is only accelerating its exit from the old world and its step into the new. Even as we speak, nations are scrambling to not be left behind in the great race for AI resource control. At the heart of every enterprise, be it a microfactory or a restaurant, AI will be what separates the winners from the losers. This scales all the way up to the national level.

Davos was like a Starter Pistol to the world that the Great Race is on. The bloom of moral power is gone, replaced by killing power. For good or for ill, President Trump gave the rest of the world notice that America was beginning the race, to secure its position in the emerging world no matter the cost to others that might oppose her.

In many ways, the ICE Wars, while they present very real catastrophic outcomes that could upset what might be emerging, are the last vestiges of the old order’s power, a power now reduced to physical violence, directly, at long last, having had their moral power stripped from them in this land.

The DNC criminal media is depriving America of so much positive news, especially economic news. We are on the verge of becoming perhaps the fastest growing economy in the world while our geopolitical enemies, mainly Russia and China, are reeling from the loss of great geopolitical power in America’s hemisphere.

Overseas, we have seen the collapse of Hamas in Palestine, something normal Americans would celebrate (while not necessarily celebrating how that collapse happened), the Iranian regime tottering on the verge of collapse (which would further devastate Chinese and Russian geopolitical power). If that’s not ENOUGH GOOD NEWS, China herself potentially faces the end of the reign of the CCP.

Instead of giving Americans hope, the DNC criminal media either ignores or downplays Trump’s foreign policy victories while it barrages Americans with intentional lies designed to trigger violent action against Federal law enforcers. It holds back America’s hope while lying about its law enforcers.

Yet, even with that barrage of violent and seditious agit prop by the DNC criminal media, Americans support ICE action by a 10-point margin, a margin that surely would be 30 or more if Americans had a free corporate press. He also now holds a 9-point approval rating advantage among Hispanics.

The only hope the DNC has is its criminal press, which seems to be aggressively attempting to incite a violent civil war. At this point, though, Americans have already figured out Progressives have always wanted them dead, jailed, or economically boycotted.

What the media does not understand, what leftists do NOT understand is Americans are done with progressives. Americans are convinced they will never allow them to live in peace as Americans, that they will always riot, that they will always assassinate, that they will always seek to use authority to oppress dissent. When they cry for American Rule of Law, Americans have no real sympathy for them anymore, since they spent the last decade aggressively trying to destroy it.

You cancelled Americans. These Americans lost careers, college degrees, and fun places to hang out. You’ve been brutalizing Americans for years, and now, Americans view you as enemy combatants, not Americans, not citizens. A criminal in the process of executing a crime has no rights until he or she is detained.

Americans don’t care if ICE “violates” your rights because they view you as outlaws, insurrectionists in active war against Americans, with your intended goal of killing every American you can.

Right now, the DNC criminal media is keeping the emerging booming American economy from Americans. While this booming economy may allegedly be in the mail, it hasn’t arrived in our mailboxes yet, though signs point to that happening soon.

We will be watching the emerging 2020 Election Investigation revitalization, Iran, and China first and foremost in the coming month, as all three could fundamentally alter, once again, the geopolitical landscape in the coming weeks ahead.

Our next sitrep will be published in the February 27, 2026, issue of MIA.

Originally published Dec 12, 2025 for our weekly Issue of Mindful Intelligence Advisor.  Subscribe to get weekly issues.

By Paul Gordon Collier, Editor

“The last four decades have been a race against time by the oligarchs to allow technology to advance without allowing it to make their large-scale monopolies of power redundant and feckless in the face of hundreds of self-sustaining small-scale free associations. That war is about to be decided within the next few years. The decades that follow will be defined by the winner in the war today between small-scale sovereignty and large-scale absolute control.” – Paul Gordon Collier

INTRODUCTION

This is not a full analysis of world events, but rather an analysis of bellwether events, regions, trends, and countries that tell the overarching story of the world in 2025, which is the struggle to define the new order as the old order comes crashing down around them.

Our predictive analysis is from an Americanist perspective, nested within our Christian belief system.

The old narratives that compelled people to surrender sovereignty for security (in fear of the white devil) and to assuage guilt (the guilt of BEING the white devil) are broken. The fruit of the labor of the old order is now clear to see, with human populations seemingly poised for collapse.

The rise of AI as a world-power-creating tool means the oligarchs must create new narratives to keep the majority of people in compliance with their new plans. They are all in a race against one another to convert land to data centers, fossil fuels to power for data centers, to dominate rare earth mineral territories and rare earth processing centers, and finally to secure advanced chip manufacturing institutions.

Global Climate Change is dead, but the moral imperative to support AI infrastructure building is coming, and any governance standard that gets in the way of that imperative must be quickly invalidated.

In many ways, what follows is the history of the last of the old order battles before the new order battles start to take place. Currently, the justification for truth is based on the social identity of the truth claimant, but that standard might impede the development of AI, which must happen as quickly as possible (before the competition destroys us while we’re still building). A form of guarded meritocracy must return as soon as possible, for instance.

Next year, we are working towards gaining a new understanding of the paradigms of the new AI-driven battles to come so we can help you, the subscriber, prepare yourself for the new sophistry that will soon be coming your way. As we make discoveries, we will pass them on and calibrate our coverage of the news accordingly.

This report was completed on December 18, 2025.

A. WORLD

The resignation of Klaus Schwab from the World Economic Forum signals a shift in strategy for the globalist left order. They seek to regroup in the face of their most common narratives (like “diversity is our strength”) being destroyed every day by the experience of people on the streets that their policies perceptively made unsafe and unwelcoming to their own indigenous populations.

1. CONFLICTS

Conflicts seem to only be increasing around the world as the old order continues to erode and new orders compete to replace it. The two bellwether conflicts are the Gaza War and the Ukraine War. Dishonorable mention could go to Pakistan’s border skirmishes with Afghanistan and India, with Pakistan launching military assaults on the other two countries, including aerial strikes.

Despite President Trump’s initial ceasefire plan, Thailand and Cambodia continue to inch towards all-out war with one another.

GAZA WAR/MIDDLE EAST – The war in Gaza has left Israel in a strong geopolitical position while it has existentially damaged Israel’s standing in America. Iran is now struggling to exist, Syria has a new regime (one not unfriendly to the U.S.), Russia is effectively out of the Middle East, and Hezbollah is but a shadow of its former self. Hamas itself is a shadow of its former self, and doubts are forming it can hold power amongst the Palestinians, many of whom are growing disenfranchised with Hamas’ method of sacrificing Palestinians for Allah’s righteous jihad against the Jews.

UKRAINE WAR – The war in Ukraine has seen some advances on the part of the Russians. The evidence of corruption in the Zelensky government is mounting, with the pressure for him to resign only growing. Even in the midst of a war, Ukrainians still found time to protest Zelensky’s corruption. As of right now, a ceasefire deal is on the table that includes Ukraine ceding territory to Russia, Ukraine not pursing entrance into NATO, and security guarantees for both Ukraine and Russia.

2. U.S. BORDER COUNTRIES

Canada is on the verge of potential economic collapse thanks largely to its own climate hoax laws and the U.S. tariffs. Major companies like Nordstram’s are pulling out of Canada altogether. Even the national iconic chain Canadian Tire is being reduced mostly to a department in the retail chain SportCheck.

While it descends into economic hell, it is also descending into moral hell, as more and more Canadians are being euthanized, including prisoners, including the mentally ill, the disabled, possibly children soon, and those who can’t get treatment for curable diseases. Canadians had a chance to halt the descent, but they chose to return the party of Moloch, the Liberals, to power in this year’s election.

The biggest anti-Liberal movement in Canada might soon be from the Western Provinces, who seem to want to become Americans rather than face the draconian legal restrictions of Canada today. See more on Canada in our Bellwether report on pg. 2.

Mexico’s lawlessness is only continuing while their current President, far left extremist Claudia Scheinbaum, has put more effort into attempting to use U.S. courts to strip Americans of their right to bear arms than she has in stopping the cartels, who just recently murdered another mayor of another major city. Mexico is presenting itself as increasingly hostile to American values and American interests, just like Canada has.

What remains to be seen is how fast China swoops in to gain footholds in these anti-American border countries, and whether this administration and future administrations will allow it.

3. EUROPE

In every country that has allowed unregulated migration from anti-Western countries to their own, immigration is the central political driver in almost every election, almost every protest, and almost every violent act. While almost every western European country’s governments are leaning further and further away from their nation-state identities, the masses seem to be turning more and more towards them.

The answer from the oligarchs is to double down on leftist language games despite clear evidence the masses have broken the spell of these games. Charges of racism, homophobia, etc., are viewed as direct threats, not accusations that need defended against.

War rattles are heavy and near-constant from Europe’s leaders, with Russia being the devil they hope will unite Europe against both Russia and the nation-staters (the so-called “right”). Should some follow through with their threats to call a draft forcing young men to fight in defense of a state that has been targeting these same young men for disempowerment at the very least, the reality of power might finally come home for them, that their whole project has been wholly and completely rejected.

The globalist left project is dead, and it needs to be replaced quickly before local sovereignty returns.

This news brief from just last month is a perfect bellwether for the spirit of the oligarchs in the face of growing resistance to their unwieldy project: The European Union (EU) will ban all cash purchases over $10,000 beginning in January 2027. This draconian change was not made through legislation that was debated and voted on; it was created through regulation. Unelected EU bureaucrats simply chose to make the change, claiming it is purely to target criminals.

In addition to that, new laws already passed will soon require anyone using or holding cryptocurrency to do so through a digital ID system, assuring no anonymity in the transaction of value between humans. By 2029, the EU plans on rolling out their digital currency, which they intend on replacing physical currency. Digital currency turbo-charges governments’ ability to control transactions, create instant “magic value,” and micromanage the currency markets.

For more on the UK, See our Bellwether Deepdive on pg. 2.

4. GEN Z REVOLUTION

Our Military Affairs correspondent Michael Cessna covered the Gen Z Revolutions in October of 2025:

The most recent wave of protests has been characterized by Gen-Z activists who have never known a world without social media. In Nepal in 2025, young protesters used the hashtag #nepokids to mobilize against nepotism and corruption, ultimately storming government buildings after the government attempted to ban social media platforms.

As of October 14^th, following protests organized online by Malagasy Gen-Z youths, Madagascar’s hapless President, Andry Rajoelina, has fled the country, as the country’s elite CAPSAT military unit stepped in and removed him from power…

Meanwhile, in Morocco, the “Gen Z 212” movement (named after the nation’s calling code) arose early in October to protest staggering levels of corruption and wealth inequality…

Similarly, protests in Bangladesh, Indonesia, and across Southeast Asia have followed a consistent pattern: government overreach triggers digital mobilization, which spills into the streets, often with protesters livestreaming confrontations that further fuel outrage. When security forces respond with violence, those images circulate instantly, sometimes drawing international attention and pressure (read our Final Thought about Clickocracy on pg. xx).

5. CHINA

Chairman Xi may have survived the fourth plenum, but his country might not survive the continued economic collapse which is triggered by tariffs in part and by collapsing pyramid schemes in the form of real estate on the other. The country is racing to catch up militarily with the U.S. in a clear bid to either replace the U.S. as the world power or reduce the U.S. to a regional power.

Even as it builds its own colonial empire, the tolerance for colonization is rapidly decreasing, and many of its worldwide projects are collapsing as a result of how poorly China has managed its relations with the locals (beyond the leaders whose coffers get greased in exchange for surrendering sovereignty to China).

Yet its influence in the U.S. has hardly been significantly diminished, even under Trump, who himself seems to not recognize the existential threat to the U.S. that China’s current policies are.

China is banking on international resources to shore up its instability at home, but knows it is running out time being able to sustain the de facto colonial empire it currently possesses (and is still trying to expand). It must hope for more willing self-sabotage from the American oligarchs if it hopes to overcome American world power, let alone preserve its own power at home.

6. AFRICA

Russia, China, and the U.S. are the primary candidates to “control” the Rare-Earth rich continent of Africa, but they face a growing sense of self-sovereignty from the Africans themselves. The presence of Islamism in Africa allows for a measure of internecine divides in Africa that only aids the world powers outside of Africa. The wealth of Africa will continue to mostly flow to the local leaders and the colonizing powers.

The need for rare earth minerals in the race for AI dominance means Africans might soon be facing another wave of colonialization, though it will be “soft” in comparison to the 19^th century’s version (and even China’s current version). Technology, however, might soon further tilt the balance of power even more towards defense over offense than it already is, meaning the Africa of the 21^st Century might have the strength to resist “unfair business practices” and turn their resources into sustainable flourishing for THEIR people on THEIR lands.

7, SOUTH KOREA

The emergence of a CCP-serving political party in South Korea has many concerned an internal coup of South Korea by the CCP has already taken place. Protests are only increasing against the anti-American, pro-CCP government who won under questionable circumstances. An effort by their former PM to stop the de facto coup was not supported by the South Korean people, so his efforts have ended in house arrest.

South Korea is, as of right now, a lost ally, though the ability of the CCP-controlled party to hold power might not be high. The longer the ruling party can string out its slow drip erosion of western liberties, the less likely a revolt will happen. For now, the risk of upheaval is high for the CCP favorite. The chances it will be patient while its sponsor, the CCP, is itself in crisis mode, are not very high.

8. JAPAN

While South Korea is turning away from the West, Japan is leaning more into it, electing its first female PM who has come out strong against China and has committed to developing a powerful offensive military that can fully handle the Chinese threat with or without U.S. aid. This is a radical break from the previously passivist country.

9. VENEZUELA and ARGENTINA

These two countries serve as two extremes of two poles, one leans towards a Chinese orbit in Venezuela and one leans towards a U.S. orbit in Argentina. The Chinese proxy is in near economic collapse and is now being blockaded by the world’s most powerful navy, the American navy. It stands accused of being a narco-terror state sending in lethal drugs to the U.S. in hopes of destabilizing her.

Argentina further bolstered Javier Milei’s power in this year’s national elections in large part thanks to the economic turn-around Milei has brought through his anti-leftist, anti-Chinese policies. The futures of these two countries could portend the futures of the influence on South America for China and the United States.

B. AMERICA

For a full analysis of the U.S., read our Bellwether report on pg. 2.

While President Donald Trump’s certified election win enabled him to undo much of the anti-American left’s shadow power in the state (though much still remains in place), the parts of America still held by this seditious party have faced even more unconstitutional draconian laws, while euthanasia laws spread and abortion up to birth laws also spread.

The country as a whole may be wary of “wokeism,” but it hasn’t fundamentally turned away from the sins that led it down this path in the first place.

As for the President, his own policies are a mixed bag, with evidence emerging he’s not the MAGA he says he is. For instance, he has leaned into the digital dollar, continued to develop the Palantir citizen database, and embraced Chinese national college students coming to American schools in the hundreds of thousands. This has led many to conclude the war against the anti-American left will not be finished by Trump, it will take Americans to finish the job (and he isn’t one of them, even if he’s a close relative).

His recent social media post seemingly blaming Rob Reiner’s TDS for leading to his murder at the hands of his own son has only added fuel to the Trump Not MAGA crowd.

Rumors of the DNC demise were shattered by the 2025 elections, that saw the Democrats win every major election in two blue-leaning states, Virginia and New Jersey, with one DNC candidate winning despite threatening to murder his political opponent’s family (though maybe he won BECAUSE of it). A late win by the Republicans in Red state Indiana has encouraged the GOP, but the gerrymandering wars appear, so far, to be going in the favor of the DNC despite early wins in Florida and Texas.

1. CULTURE

Worldwide, legalized abortion and euthanasia continue to advance even as birthrate numbers continue to decline to well-below replacement levels. Christianity is being brutalized in one way, shape, or form, in almost every quarter of the world, including America.

The spell of woke language games has broken, however, and more and more people are turning back to Christ, having been left bankrupt from the woke world order. Many more, unfortunately, are turning to alternatives that themselves continue to fail to recognize the underlying illness in the land, CHILD SACRIFICE.

The world street is leaning away from the old global left order’s moral code while the leadership is leaning harder and harder into it. The divide between the street and the penthouse is only growing, but the root of that divide, the toxicity of the land caused by the sacrificing of children for sexual pleasure, has nothing but enthusiastic bloodthirsty support from the woke and tepid resistance from everyone else (who mostly consider it extreme to be against abortion before, say, 10 weeks).

So far, whatever might replace woke culture is only slightly friendlier to the unborn, and children in general, than wokeness is itself.

Within the context of an AI-defined culture to come, abortion is an ideal practice for a rising AI power as it continues to reduce humans to material resources and/or waste, which allows humans to support AI assaults on humans that aren’t in their protected classes. Abortion gives rise to AI tyranny.

2. MARKET

The worldwide market is responding to the rise of AI as a human replacement along with the increasingly weaponized political reality they face on a daily basis. With the advent of full-on tariff wars triggered by President Trump (in response to allegedly unfair tariff policies directed at the U.S. by other countries), which have now been joined by other nations, markets must now navigate what might become an increasingly volatile environment as more and more countries use tariffs as geopolitical weapons.

No government policy short of job freezes can stop the job losses that have already hit and are only going to continue as a result of AI replacement alone (though, potentially, the support jobs we can’t even fully predict will shortly come, replacing many of these initially lost jobs).

From within, business is experiencing much gutting of its Diversity, Equity, Inclusion programs in part due to President Trump’s executive orders but also in part because the fruit of the project was disastrous, leading to inept policy decisions, poor products, and even worse public service nightmares.

Now, the market must prepare to use AI tools, invest in AI development, and serve what will be the fastest growing market in the world, the AI service industry market. This market will emerge from the needs of the AI industry. This will be the support industry for the AI industry.

The need for merit-based expertise to develop AI products and services will lead industries further away from wokeness, but not necessarily towards Americanism. Rather, the oligarchs will seek a new quasi-religion to help them usher in the age of AI.

Their failure to secure the market, especially the market’s cultural production, could be catastrophic if it comes at such a time as now when it needs to quickly pivot to a new angels and demons narrative without enraging the supporters of their last angels and demons narrative, wokeness (with the white race serving as both the white devil and the white savior).

As more states seek to make gold legal tender, suspicion mounts that those in power know something about the dollar we don’t, which is mainly it’s about to lose its world currency status. This will severely limit America’s current ability to print new currency, which means this; just as some high interest payments come due on our ballooning debt, the state will be constricted in its real yearly revenue spending. Hard decisions will need to be made.

3. SCI-TECH

The leading edge of sci-tech is AI, drone tech, and 3D-Printing (in various forms, including bio-printing). The engine of all tech is now AI (or one of its variations), and AI needs resources. These resources include land, rare earth minerals, and intelligent people who can freely explore potentials. These needs will drive the sci-tech industry as a whole, and that includes social media.

Anti-AI governance social media alternatives may soon emerge in response to what is most likely going to be an overreliance on AI as a governor. This year, social media platforms will either learn the limits of AI or succeed in consolidating enough power to gaslight us into thinking the experience hasn’t been terrible.

We suspect the oligarchs are hoping AI can help destroy the millions of “news reporters” on social media by simply making it unprofitable for them (through filtering them out of search results, for instance).

We suspect a year of increasingly excellent AI slop will lead to a vanguard of “humancraft” movements that will provide economic opportunities for humans willing to create content such as this without any significant AI aid (for this report, the aid is limited to searches, since they work better than google now does).

The real ongoing story in sci-tech is the war between the oligarchs and the technological reality of power that individuals and small-scale associations can increasingly provide their own excellent level of products and services to meet most of their wants and needs.

This means the advantage of large-scale efficiency in exchange for less sovereign diversity is no longer in play since the small-scale can now compete with the large scale in product and service excellence.

The last four decades have been a race against time by the oligarchs to allow technology to advance without allowing it to make their large-scale monopolies of power redundant and feckless in the face of hundreds of self-sustaining small-scale free associations. That war is about to be decided within the next few years. The decades that follow will be defined by the winner in the war today between small-scale sovereignty and large-scale absolute control.

SYNTHESIS SUMMARY

For the world, the death of the American Pax is official, as Trump has made all previous contracts null and void. This is how the year began. Now, as the year closes, the world is coming to grips with that new reality, seeking new opportunities and identifying new threats. The old discourse is about to fall away, and new discourses are about to emerge. The left was almost right when it saw “the end of history” coming.

In one sense, Hegel’s idea of a history progressing towards a completed whole might be unfolding before our very eyes, but not in the way Hegel imagined it. We are not seeing the end of history, but rather, we are seeing the end of the enlightenment itself, a movement he was instrumental in fueling.

The “whole” that we are getting to is the demystification of the justification for state authority over our lives, which came about through our increasingly shared experiences in real time across digital spans that touched real physical places across the world. We felt the reality while our leaders, our media, our corporate executives, all denied it and punished us for living it, for speaking it.

The justification for the state’s authority, that it is a “necessary evil” to protect us from greater evils is dead after Covid. It will only be invigorated if the means of cultural production continue to be controlled by the elite few.

Covid-19 could be seen as the bellwether of this reality, where everyone around the world was going through the same exact emergency and everyone who was paying attention could see just how blatant the lies were from our own governments in the face of that emergency, and how much every institution, the press, the schools, the sciences, etc., confirmed that unreality.

These lies led to deaths, millions of deaths, deaths that touched almost everyone on the face of the planet. The end of history, in a sense, was Covid-19. This year, we see the inchoate stage between the death of one history, the men of letters overcoming suffering and death (the promise of the enlightenment), and the birth of another, one which has yet to be decided, let alone told.

President Trump’s Presidency represents that final break with the old order, but not without baggage from that same old order.

PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS

President Trump’s presidency represents a type of transition in which whatever comes next will retain much of what came before it, in part symbolically alone, and in part in very meaningful, powerful ways.

So far, one part of the old civilization  which most competing civilizations are retaining is the support for the murdering of the unborn.

President Trump appears to want to take much of the deep state with him, just under his command, and the command of his MAGA predecessors.

The “right” appears to want to use woke tactics against anyone who even suggests Israel is bad, or Israel is good, while the left fully embraces the illogical conclusion of the enlightenment, post-structural gobbledygook, that has already killed millions.

Worldwide, each country has its own unique opportunities to throw off the shackles of the old order without giving way to something far worse.

Here in America our vehicle of power to combat the old order without letting in something worse is Americanism itself, but one not justified by anything other than a pragmatic agreement between peaceful communities to not use violence as a means to advance the beliefs of your free association community.

In order for this “justification” to work, citizenship has to be consensual, not compulsory.

We believe more and more people will come to see this as a natural potential solution to “restore” the American republic without restoring the naturalist justifications for her existence (in other words, without restoring liberalism, which allegedly got us into this mess in the first place).

We believe a plurality of “citizens” today are Americans. Many of them know it and understand this America is no longer following that American spirit. Many, many more don’t know it yet and don’t fully understand America is no longer America, or why that is.

But the check is in the mail, and many more people this year will discover their Americanism and the difference between them and the competing nation within, Progmerica, the daughter of the DNC and the GOP, with great assistance from foreign powers, including China, Russia, Israel, and Saudi Arabia.

The question is, will it be in time to stop what’s coming in the 2026 election, which would be the return to power of the DNC in the House? If it isn’t, what follows in 2027 will accelerate the creation of Americans as the DNC continues to overplay its hand whenever it has opportunity to do so.

If not, the 2026 election could be the beginning of the real end of the DNC and the RNC’s hold on America and the rise of new ACTUAL American parties, but that’s a lot to ask for in a year.