Election 2026
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President Donald Trump has a chance to do two incredible things.
First, with a successful second term he could buck a major historical trend.
Second, as his popularity increases, Trump could soon eclipse former President Barack Obama while relegating the 44th president to a historical footnote.
Tuesday on “The Benny Show” podcast, pollster Mark Mitchell of Rasmussen Reports told host Benny Johnson that Trump’s approval rating at this point in his presidency will soon surpass that of Obama at the same point in his second term.
“You’re saying that President Trump is about to beat Barack Obama for being the most popular president in our lifetimes?” Johnson asked in a clip posted to the social media platform X.
“At this point in the term and going forward, yeah, 100 percent,” Mitchell replied.
The key phrase “at this point in the term” sounds like a caveat. In truth, however, it makes Trump’s achievement all the more remarkable.
Recall, for instance, how Obama entered the presidency. The media glorified him. His face appeared on posters, accompanied by the word “HOPE.”
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Over the course of his third presidential campaign, President Donald Trump repeatedly presented himself as a defender of American Christians and his rivals, then-President Joe Biden and then-Vice President Kamala Harris, as opponents and even persecutors of the Christian faith. A new survey is showing that American Christians largely agreed with Trump’s rhetoric, even if not with all of his policy decisions. Change Research conducted what Time Magazine called “one of the largest polls of Christian voters ever to quantify the mood of the nation’s largest voting bloc,” and found that American Christians broadly do not trust the Democratic Party.
According to the survey, 75% of Christian voters say that they have “little or no trust in the Democratic Party,” while 58% say that party elites and leaders are “hostile to Christianity,” 54% say that even Democratic voters are “hostile to Christianity,” and 62% say that they would “never consider voting for a Democrat.”
Doug Pagitt, the “progressive pastor” who commissioned the study, told Time that Democrats have crippled their electoral prowess by ignoring and denigrating American Christians and Christian values. “You can’t be the majority party if you ignore the majority faith in this country,” he said. Pointing to the success Republicans have had with Christian voters, he continued, “Republicans have made a concerted effort. Democrats have done everything they can never to name that [Christian] identity. They have a built-in bias against these identities in the Democratic Party.” Pagitt opined that Democrats “squandered” their chances with Christian voters in the 2024 election. “They just walked away,” he said.
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Nearly two-thirds of Democratic voters say their party needs new leaders as frustration grows over its priorities and plummeting approval ratings, a new poll shows.
Sixty-two percent of Democrats say that the party’s leaders “should be replaced with new people,” compared with just 30 percent of Republicans who said the same about their party leaders, according to the Reuters/Ipsos survey published Thursday.
Nearly half of Democrats—49 percent—are “unsatisfied” with party leaders, while 41 percent say they are “satisfied” and 10 percent are unsure, the poll found.
The poll was released on the same day that news broke of intraparty backlash against Democratic National Committee chairman Ken Martin, with DNC members telling Politico that Martin is “weak,” “whiny,” and “invisible.” Earlier this week, powerful American Federation of Teachers president Randi Weingarten quit her DNC role in protest of the party’s direction under Martin, leading Rep. Mark Pocan (D., Wis.) to tweet that he would “love to have a day go by” without the DNC doing “something embarrassing & off message.”
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No matter how much left-wing agitators want to riot to oppose enforcing immigration law, the American people still support Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers and deporting illegals.
That is the takeaway from a new Harvard/Harris poll taken in the middle of the Los Angeles anti-ICE riots that have been excused by Democrat leadership like city Mayor Karen Bass and Gov. Gavin Newsom.
In fact, 80 percent of respondents in the poll support a plan to deport criminal illegal aliens, which clocks in at the second most popular overall policy proposal (of 15) after lowering prescription drug prices for the elderly and low-income Americans. When asked more specifically if respondents favored what the Trump administration is doing to achieve the deportations, 74 percent agreed, including 57 percent of Democrats and 75 percent of independents.
The fifth most popular policy proposal is closing “the border with added security and policies that discourage illegal crossings,” with 67 percent support.
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Excerpt:Despite facing a proverbial “perfect storm” with recession fears, stock market volatility, and talk of tariffs — all multiplied by constant media attacks — recent polling data shows that more Americans view the Republican Party as being better equipped to handle the economy compared to the Democratic Party.
The public as a whole sees the GOP as relatively effective.
It’s true that for decades, Democrats were widely seen as the party of the middle class. In 1989, they held a significant 23-point advantage on the question of which party best represented middle-class interests. But that has all changed.
A May 2025 CNN/SSRS poll shows Republicans with a 7-point lead when people are asked which party is closer to their economic views. In a different poll, conducted by Reuters/Ipsos, asking which party has the better economic plan, the GOP lead grew from +9 in May 2024 to +12 in May 2025, signaling increased confidence in Trump’s economic leadership during his second term.
Unless you’re still at home hiding from COVID under a blanket and isolated from the real world, this shouldn’t be a surprise. And yet, CNN hosts were completely baffled when reporting on the issue — another sign that today’s Democratic Party is completely disconnected from the average American.
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According to the survey, 58 percent of Americans believe the court is not politically neutral.
The majority of Americans do not view the Supreme Court as a politically neutral institution, according to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll.
According to the survey, only 20 percent of respondents said they believe the court is politically neutral. A majority, 58 percent, said it is not, while the remainder either did not know or declined to answer. Among Democrats, 74 percent said the court is not politically neutral, while 54 percent of Republicans said the same.
The poll, conducted last week among 1,136 adults, comes as the Supreme Court has made a number of controversial rulings in recent memory. Over the past few years, the court has handed down decisions that have generated sharp reactions across the political spectrum, including the overturning of Roe v. Wade, expanding Second Amendment protections, rejecting the use of race in college admissions, and blocking some Trump administration efforts on immigration enforcement.
Public favorability toward the Supreme Court has also declined. The poll found that 44 percent of respondents currently view the court favorably. Among Republicans, that number stands at 67 percent, compared to just 26 percent of Democrats. In late 2021, 57 percent of Americans held a favorable view of the court, but that figure dropped to 43 percent by June 2022, shortly after the court struck down Roe v. Wade.
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Trump’s approval is currently higher than ratings for Obama or Bush in their second terms. Talk about a major media fail.
The media has had Trump on blast for months, criticizing his words and every move. For them, everything is gloom and doom, and yet, the American people don’t see things that way.
Remember how the media treated Obama? For them, Obama walked on water, he could do no wrong. But despite their constant trash talk, Trump is more popular than Obama was at this point in his second term. What does that tell you?
RedState reports:
Democrats Are Going to Be Livid When They See Trump’s Latest Approval Numbers
Democrats are going to be downright livid when they learn that President Donald Trump’s approval numbers are higher than both former President Barack Obama’s and former President George W. Bush’s in their second terms at this same time, according to a new poll.
On Wednesday, RealClearPolitics’ Tom Bevan posted on X that “As of two days ago, Trump’s approval rating in the RCP Avg (47.5%) is higher than Obama’s and Bush’s at this point in their second terms.”
The outlet noted that at this same time in Obama’s presidency, his job approval sat at 47.1, and Bush’s was at 45.9. Bevan’s post included a chart that showed a visual of how Trump was ahead of both past presidents.
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Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) trails Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) by 22 points in the state’s Republican Senate primary, according to a new poll released on Tuesday.
The survey, which was conducted by pollster Robert Blizzard on behalf of the Educational Freedom Institute and first obtained by Punchbowl News, showed Paxton leading Cornyn 50 percent to 28 percent among Republican primary voters.
Paxton expanded his lead among voters described as “very conservative GOP primary voters,” leading Cornyn 60 percent to 22 percent. Among voters described as “high propensity 3/3 GOP primary voters,” Paxton leads Cornyn by 30 points. The poll also showed Paxton leading Cornyn by 35 points among “MAGA voters” and by 12 points among senior voters.
The poll is the latest in a string of data points showing the incumbent senator trailing the conservative primary challenger. Last week, a poll from the Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center at Texas Southern University showed Paxton leading in a hypothetical two-way contest with 43 percent to Cornyn’s 34 percent, and 23 percent unsure.
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President Donald Trump got some good news from a poll that, at least for now, puts the final nail in the coffin for the Democrats’ “buyer’s remorse” narrative. Since the 2024 election, the Democrat Party has attempted to craft a yarn that makes it seem as if Trump voters are regretting their decision to vote the president into office.
But the cold, hard data tells a different story.
According to the poll from Trafalgar Group, conducted between May 30 and June 1, President Trump’s approval rating is 53.7 percent. These findings show an upward trajectory for the President since his election. His disapproval rating is shrinking, sitting currently at 45.6 percent. Trafalgar surveyed 1,098 voters for the poll.
Some on the left are questioning the accuracy of the poll and thus the integrity of Trafalgar Group. The organization currently has a B+ for accuracy from FiveThirtyEight, making them one of the most consistently accurate pollsters in recent election cycles, especially when it comes to capturing the sentiments of voters who are often overlooked by the mainstream media surveys.
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A new poll is showing that support for same-sex marriage has dropped to a 10-year low among Republicans but spiked to a record high among Democrats.
According to Gallup, 68% of Americans overall support same-sex marriage, barely down from 69% last year. However, that “steady” level of support—approval for same-sex marriage has hovered between 67% and 71% over the past five years and has not fallen below 50% since 2011—belies a stark and rapidly growing political division.
Gallup reports that support for same-sex marriage among Republicans has fallen to 41%, down from an all-time high of 55% in 2021 and 2022 and the lowest point since May of 2016, when support stood at 40%.
Among Democrats, however, support for same-sex marriage has peaked at 88%, the highest point recorded by Gallup among any faction. That’s up from 83% last year. Support for same-sex marriage has not fallen below 70% among Democrats since 2013, when it stood at 69%.
Independent voters generally track more closely with Democrats on the issue but are still lagging 12 points behind at 76%, up from 74% last year but down from an all-time high of 77% in 2023. Support for same-sex marriage has not fallen below 50% among independents since 2010, when it stood at 49%.
Despite statistics on support for same-sex marriage, fewer Americans of all political stripes consider same-sex relationships morally acceptable. According to Gallup, only 38% of Republicans consider same-sex relationships morally acceptable, compared to 69% of independent voters and 86% among Democrats.
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One of the most fascinating aspects of the 2024 election was seeing how heavily men of all races swung to Trump and Republicans. It’s such a serious issue for Democrats that they’re planning to spend upwards of $20 million to ‘study’ men and find out where they went wrong.
Poll analyst Nate Silver apparently got into this topic in a recent post on his Substack. It’s behind a paywall, but here are a few interesting points. The divide is due in part to mental health issues. The right is winning that battle.
Nate Silver’s latest blog post notes that conservatives are up 31 points among those with self-described excellent mental health, and down 26 among those with poor mental health.
Democrats have turned themselves into the party of the neurotic, the unstable, and the miserable.… pic.twitter.com/n4evL19F33
— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) June 2, 2025
Nate Silver on Dem neuroticism pic.twitter.com/OLNDySQeUO
— Sulla (@gaulicsmith) June 2, 2025
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Anyone surprised by these polling numbers isn’t paying attention, as they’d have to be intentionally naive not to see that the left has become the party of the rich, while Republicans are now the party of the middle class.
This becomes especially clear when you consider that the left effectively replaced a sitting president through the influence of major donors, with zero input from voters. That does not represent the little guy in middle America, as the left has increasingly become aligned with big tech and corporate interests, despite claims to the contrary.
Harry Enten, CNN’s data analyst, said what we all know to be true, which is that “For decades, polls showed Dems had a double-digit edge on the party that looked out for/was the party of the middle class. Polls now show the GOP/Trump has totally eliminated that gap.”
In other words, despite the left’s attempts to fearmonger and gaslight the public about the economy, Republicans still hold a 10-point lead on economic issues, despite claims of an economic calamity that simply won’t happen, at least not in the next several years.
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Here’s a prime example from something that Matt wrote yesterday:
Democrats aren’t even pretending anymore. If they retake the House, they’re coming for Trump—again. On Sunday, Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-Texas) openly admitted she would “absolutely” launch an impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump if given the gavel on the House Oversight Committee. No pretense, no evidence—just raw political vengeance. From Elon Musk’s role in cutting government waste to Trump’s legal fights with Harvard and high-powered law firms, Crockett is already laying the groundwork to turn routine policy and legal disputes into impeachable offenses. Her comments make one thing unmistakably clear: Democrats are gearing up to use the power of Congress not for oversight, but for retaliation.
I’m still not convinced that this “We still super-duper hate Trump!” approach is a winner for bringing the Democrats back to any semblance of political relevance. Sure, it gets the coastal and Illinois Democrats frothing even more than usual, but it can’t have much — if any — play at all with the traditional voters that they have been losing.
As far as long-term planning goes, the 24/7 Trump Derangement Syndrome shtick is really going to leave their tank empty come January of 2029. They’ll try to brand JD Vance, Ron DeSantis, or whomever emerges as the GOP frontrunner as the next Satan, but it’s not going have that same zing for their base that “ORANGE MAN BAD!” does.
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Excerpt:The Supreme Court on Monday decided to hear an election case from Illinois, which promises to clarify the legal standards federal election candidates must meet to challenge state election laws in federal court, according to Judicial Watch.
The case is known as Bost v. Illinois State Board of Elections, where Representative Mike Bost (R-IL) and two other Republican presidential elector nominees filed a lawsuit against the Illinois State Board of Elections. The suit challenged a state law authorizing the acceptance of mail-in ballots up to two weeks after election day. A district court dismissed the case due to a lack of standing, and the ruling was upheld by the 7th Circuit Court of Appeals.
Standing has been a contentious issue since 2020. The plaintiff must meet three requirements to have standing in a federal lawsuit as established by the Supreme Court case Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife (1992). They must show a concrete, particularized, and actual or imminent injury, there has to be a causal connection between the injury and the issue brought before the court, and it must be likely that the court’s ruling will redress the injury. The lower courts argued that because Rep. Bost had won the election, he failed to show a personal injury caused by the state election law.
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A new poll released Wednesday shows Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton with a commanding lead over incumbent U.S. Sen. John Cornyn in either a two-person race or a three-person race in next year’s Republican primary. But Paxton’s lead in the poll shrinks dramatically against potential Democratic rivals in the 2026 general election.
The poll from Texan Southern University’s Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center shows Paxton leading Cornyn by 9 percentage points in a two-person race and by 7 points if U.S. Rep. Wesley Hunt of Houston enters the primary.
“Right now, if it’s a head-to-head race between Paxton and Cornyn, Paxton is a very strong favorite, and it’s tough to see how, absent, say, a Trump endorsement of Cornyn, Cornyn could effectively flip the table on Paxton,” said Mark Jones, political science fellow at Rice University’s Baker Institute and co-author of the survey with TSU’s Michael O. Adams.
