Pollsters Warn: Polling Numbers Exaggerate Democrat Support– gellerreport.com
News Source
EXCERPT:
As if we didn’t know. Their objective: demoralize Republicans into staying home on Election Day—and lay the groundwork to make a rigged result look legitimate.
Nothing that comes out of any of the institutions hijacked by the left have any credibility anymore.
For a recent exhibit in polling gone bad:
In the Michigan primary, the polling had El-Sayed up by 13 points. He won by 1 point (GelliotMorris). Rob Crilly at the Washington Examiner: In 2024, a rash of cheap online polls skewed forecasts, underestimating Donald Trump’s eventual margin of victory. This time around, a handful of pollsters have spotted another possible error in a type of survey that finds participants by sending out SMS messages, called text-to-web polling. They say it is returning a disproportionate number of disenchanted Trump voters who have switched sides. And it could mean that forecasts predicting a blue tidal wave, such as Nate Silver’s much-quoted model, with Democrats’ chances of winning the Senate at over 73%, are overestimating their chances…. The phenomenon was first spotted by James Johnson, co-founder of J.L. Partners, another Republican leaning firm. He ran an experiment to quantify what he was seeing with a poll in Iowa. Online polling showed Democrats ahead by a single point. Live call polling also had Democrats ahead by a single point. Yet the SMS-to-web portion showed Democrats up by 12 points (Washington Examiner).
