Originally published Dec 12, 2025 for our weekly Issue of Mindful Intelligence Advisor. Subscribe to get weekly issues.
By Paul Gordon Collier, Editor
“The last four decades have been a race against time by the oligarchs to allow technology to advance without allowing it to make their large-scale monopolies of power redundant and feckless in the face of hundreds of self-sustaining small-scale free associations. That war is about to be decided within the next few years. The decades that follow will be defined by the winner in the war today between small-scale sovereignty and large-scale absolute control.” – Paul Gordon Collier
INTRODUCTION
This is not a full analysis of world events, but rather an analysis of bellwether events, regions, trends, and countries that tell the overarching story of the world in 2025, which is the struggle to define the new order as the old order comes crashing down around them.
Our predictive analysis is from an Americanist perspective, nested within our Christian belief system.
The old narratives that compelled people to surrender sovereignty for security (in fear of the white devil) and to assuage guilt (the guilt of BEING the white devil) are broken. The fruit of the labor of the old order is now clear to see, with human populations seemingly poised for collapse.
The rise of AI as a world-power-creating tool means the oligarchs must create new narratives to keep the majority of people in compliance with their new plans. They are all in a race against one another to convert land to data centers, fossil fuels to power for data centers, to dominate rare earth mineral territories and rare earth processing centers, and finally to secure advanced chip manufacturing institutions.
Global Climate Change is dead, but the moral imperative to support AI infrastructure building is coming, and any governance standard that gets in the way of that imperative must be quickly invalidated.
In many ways, what follows is the history of the last of the old order battles before the new order battles start to take place. Currently, the justification for truth is based on the social identity of the truth claimant, but that standard might impede the development of AI, which must happen as quickly as possible (before the competition destroys us while we’re still building). A form of guarded meritocracy must return as soon as possible, for instance.
Next year, we are working towards gaining a new understanding of the paradigms of the new AI-driven battles to come so we can help you, the subscriber, prepare yourself for the new sophistry that will soon be coming your way. As we make discoveries, we will pass them on and calibrate our coverage of the news accordingly.
This report was completed on December 18, 2025.
A. WORLD
The resignation of Klaus Schwab from the World Economic Forum signals a shift in strategy for the globalist left order. They seek to regroup in the face of their most common narratives (like “diversity is our strength”) being destroyed every day by the experience of people on the streets that their policies perceptively made unsafe and unwelcoming to their own indigenous populations.
- CONFLICTS
Conflicts seem to only be increasing around the world as the old order continues to erode and new orders compete to replace it. The two bellwether conflicts are the Gaza War and the Ukraine War. Dishonorable mention could go to Pakistan’s border skirmishes with Afghanistan and India, with Pakistan launching military assaults on the other two countries, including aerial strikes.
Despite President Trump’s initial ceasefire plan, Thailand and Cambodia continue to inch towards all-out war with one another.
GAZA WAR/MIDDLE EAST – The war in Gaza has left Israel in a strong geopolitical position while it has existentially damaged Israel’s standing in America. Iran is now struggling to exist, Syria has a new regime (one not unfriendly to the U.S.), Russia is effectively out of the Middle East, and Hezbollah is but a shadow of its former self. Hamas itself is a shadow of its former self, and doubts are forming it can hold power amongst the Palestinians, many of whom are growing disenfranchised with Hamas’ method of sacrificing Palestinians for Allah’s righteous jihad against the Jews.
UKRAINE WAR – The war in Ukraine has seen some advances on the part of the Russians. The evidence of corruption in the Zelensky government is mounting, with the pressure for him to resign only growing. Even in the midst of a war, Ukrainians still found time to protest Zelensky’s corruption. As of right now, a ceasefire deal is on the table that includes Ukraine ceding territory to Russia, Ukraine not pursing entrance into NATO, and security guarantees for both Ukraine and Russia.
- U.S. BORDER COUNTRIES
Canada is on the verge of potential economic collapse thanks largely to its own climate hoax laws and the U.S. tariffs. Major companies like Nordstram’s are pulling out of Canada altogether. Even the national iconic chain Canadian Tire is being reduced mostly to a department in the retail chain SportCheck.
While it descends into economic hell, it is also descending into moral hell, as more and more Canadians are being euthanized, including prisoners, including the mentally ill, the disabled, possibly children soon, and those who can’t get treatment for curable diseases. Canadians had a chance to halt the descent, but they chose to return the party of Moloch, the Liberals, to power in this year’s election.
The biggest anti-Liberal movement in Canada might soon be from the Western Provinces, who seem to want to become Americans rather than face the draconian legal restrictions of Canada today. See more on Canada in our Bellwether report on pg. 2.
Mexico’s lawlessness is only continuing while their current President, far left extremist Claudia Scheinbaum, has put more effort into attempting to use U.S. courts to strip Americans of their right to bear arms than she has in stopping the cartels, who just recently murdered another mayor of another major city. Mexico is presenting itself as increasingly hostile to American values and American interests, just like Canada has.
What remains to be seen is how fast China swoops in to gain footholds in these anti-American border countries, and whether this administration and future administrations will allow it.
- EUROPE
In every country that has allowed unregulated migration from anti-Western countries to their own, immigration is the central political driver in almost every election, almost every protest, and almost every violent act. While almost every western European country’s governments are leaning further and further away from their nation-state identities, the masses seem to be turning more and more towards them.
The answer from the oligarchs is to double down on leftist language games despite clear evidence the masses have broken the spell of these games. Charges of racism, homophobia, etc., are viewed as direct threats, not accusations that need defended against.
War rattles are heavy and near-constant from Europe’s leaders, with Russia being the devil they hope will unite Europe against both Russia and the nation-staters (the so-called “right”). Should some follow through with their threats to call a draft forcing young men to fight in defense of a state that has been targeting these same young men for disempowerment at the very least, the reality of power might finally come home for them, that their whole project has been wholly and completely rejected.
The globalist left project is dead, and it needs to be replaced quickly before local sovereignty returns.
This news brief from just last month is a perfect bellwether for the spirit of the oligarchs in the face of growing resistance to their unwieldy project: The European Union (EU) will ban all cash purchases over $10,000 beginning in January 2027. This draconian change was not made through legislation that was debated and voted on; it was created through regulation. Unelected EU bureaucrats simply chose to make the change, claiming it is purely to target criminals.
In addition to that, new laws already passed will soon require anyone using or holding cryptocurrency to do so through a digital ID system, assuring no anonymity in the transaction of value between humans. By 2029, the EU plans on rolling out their digital currency, which they intend on replacing physical currency. Digital currency turbo-charges governments’ ability to control transactions, create instant “magic value,” and micromanage the currency markets.
For more on the UK, See our Bellwether Deepdive on pg. 2.
Our Military Affairs correspondent Michael Cessna covered the Gen Z Revolutions in October of 2025:
The most recent wave of protests has been characterized by Gen-Z activists who have never known a world without social media. In Nepal in 2025, young protesters used the hashtag #nepokids to mobilize against nepotism and corruption, ultimately storming government buildings after the government attempted to ban social media platforms.
As of October 14th, following protests organized online by Malagasy Gen-Z youths, Madagascar’s hapless President, Andry Rajoelina, has fled the country, as the country’s elite CAPSAT military unit stepped in and removed him from power…
Meanwhile, in Morocco, the “Gen Z 212” movement (named after the nation’s calling code) arose early in October to protest staggering levels of corruption and wealth inequality…
Similarly, protests in Bangladesh, Indonesia, and across Southeast Asia have followed a consistent pattern: government overreach triggers digital mobilization, which spills into the streets, often with protesters livestreaming confrontations that further fuel outrage. When security forces respond with violence, those images circulate instantly, sometimes drawing international attention and pressure (read our Final Thought about Clickocracy on pg. xx).
Chairman Xi may have survived the fourth plenum, but his country might not survive the continued economic collapse which is triggered by tariffs in part and by collapsing pyramid schemes in the form of real estate on the other. The country is racing to catch up militarily with the U.S. in a clear bid to either replace the U.S. as the world power or reduce the U.S. to a regional power.
Even as it builds its own colonial empire, the tolerance for colonization is rapidly decreasing, and many of its worldwide projects are collapsing as a result of how poorly China has managed its relations with the locals (beyond the leaders whose coffers get greased in exchange for surrendering sovereignty to China).
Yet its influence in the U.S. has hardly been significantly diminished, even under Trump, who himself seems to not recognize the existential threat to the U.S. that China’s current policies are.
China is banking on international resources to shore up its instability at home, but knows it is running out time being able to sustain the de facto colonial empire it currently possesses (and is still trying to expand). It must hope for more willing self-sabotage from the American oligarchs if it hopes to overcome American world power, let alone preserve its own power at home.
6. AFRICA
Russia, China, and the U.S. are the primary candidates to “control” the Rare-Earth rich continent of Africa, but they face a growing sense of self-sovereignty from the Africans themselves. The presence of Islamism in Africa allows for a measure of internecine divides in Africa that only aids the world powers outside of Africa. The wealth of Africa will continue to mostly flow to the local leaders and the colonizing powers.
The need for rare earth minerals in the race for AI dominance means Africans might soon be facing another wave of colonialization, though it will be “soft” in comparison to the 19th century’s version (and even China’s current version). Technology, however, might soon further tilt the balance of power even more towards defense over offense than it already is, meaning the Africa of the 21st Century might have the strength to resist “unfair business practices” and turn their resources into sustainable flourishing for THEIR people on THEIR lands.
7, SOUTH KOREA
The emergence of a CCP-serving political party in South Korea has many concerned an internal coup of South Korea by the CCP has already taken place. Protests are only increasing against the anti-American, pro-CCP government who won under questionable circumstances. An effort by their former PM to stop the de facto coup was not supported by the South Korean people, so his efforts have ended in house arrest.
South Korea is, as of right now, a lost ally, though the ability of the CCP-controlled party to hold power might not be high. The longer the ruling party can string out its slow drip erosion of western liberties, the less likely a revolt will happen. For now, the risk of upheaval is high for the CCP favorite. The chances it will be patient while its sponsor, the CCP, is itself in crisis mode, are not very high.
While South Korea is turning away from the West, Japan is leaning more into it, electing its first female PM who has come out strong against China and has committed to developing a powerful offensive military that can fully handle the Chinese threat with or without U.S. aid. This is a radical break from the previously passivist country.
These two countries serve as two extremes of two poles, one leans towards a Chinese orbit in Venezuela and one leans towards a U.S. orbit in Argentina. The Chinese proxy is in near economic collapse and is now being blockaded by the world’s most powerful navy, the American navy. It stands accused of being a narco-terror state sending in lethal drugs to the U.S. in hopes of destabilizing her.
Argentina further bolstered Javier Milei’s power in this year’s national elections in large part thanks to the economic turn-around Milei has brought through his anti-leftist, anti-Chinese policies. The futures of these two countries could portend the futures of the influence on South America for China and the United States.
B. AMERICA
For a full analysis of the U.S., read our Bellwether report on pg. 2.
While President Donald Trump’s certified election win enabled him to undo much of the anti-American left’s shadow power in the state (though much still remains in place), the parts of America still held by this seditious party have faced even more unconstitutional draconian laws, while euthanasia laws spread and abortion up to birth laws also spread.
The country as a whole may be wary of “wokeism,” but it hasn’t fundamentally turned away from the sins that led it down this path in the first place.
As for the President, his own policies are a mixed bag, with evidence emerging he’s not the MAGA he says he is. For instance, he has leaned into the digital dollar, continued to develop the Palantir citizen database, and embraced Chinese national college students coming to American schools in the hundreds of thousands. This has led many to conclude the war against the anti-American left will not be finished by Trump, it will take Americans to finish the job (and he isn’t one of them, even if he’s a close relative).
His recent social media post seemingly blaming Rob Reiner’s TDS for leading to his murder at the hands of his own son has only added fuel to the Trump Not MAGA crowd.
Rumors of the DNC demise were shattered by the 2025 elections, that saw the Democrats win every major election in two blue-leaning states, Virginia and New Jersey, with one DNC candidate winning despite threatening to murder his political opponent’s family (though maybe he won BECAUSE of it). A late win by the Republicans in Red state Indiana has encouraged the GOP, but the gerrymandering wars appear, so far, to be going in the favor of the DNC despite early wins in Florida and Texas.
Worldwide, legalized abortion and euthanasia continue to advance even as birthrate numbers continue to decline to well-below replacement levels. Christianity is being brutalized in one way, shape, or form, in almost every quarter of the world, including America.
The spell of woke language games has broken, however, and more and more people are turning back to Christ, having been left bankrupt from the woke world order. Many more, unfortunately, are turning to alternatives that themselves continue to fail to recognize the underlying illness in the land, CHILD SACRIFICE.
The world street is leaning away from the old global left order’s moral code while the leadership is leaning harder and harder into it. The divide between the street and the penthouse is only growing, but the root of that divide, the toxicity of the land caused by the sacrificing of children for sexual pleasure, has nothing but enthusiastic bloodthirsty support from the woke and tepid resistance from everyone else (who mostly consider it extreme to be against abortion before, say, 10 weeks).
So far, whatever might replace woke culture is only slightly friendlier to the unborn, and children in general, than wokeness is itself.
Within the context of an AI-defined culture to come, abortion is an ideal practice for a rising AI power as it continues to reduce humans to material resources and/or waste, which allows humans to support AI assaults on humans that aren’t in their protected classes. Abortion gives rise to AI tyranny.
2. MARKET
The worldwide market is responding to the rise of AI as a human replacement along with the increasingly weaponized political reality they face on a daily basis. With the advent of full-on tariff wars triggered by President Trump (in response to allegedly unfair tariff policies directed at the U.S. by other countries), which have now been joined by other nations, markets must now navigate what might become an increasingly volatile environment as more and more countries use tariffs as geopolitical weapons.
No government policy short of job freezes can stop the job losses that have already hit and are only going to continue as a result of AI replacement alone (though, potentially, the support jobs we can’t even fully predict will shortly come, replacing many of these initially lost jobs).
From within, business is experiencing much gutting of its Diversity, Equity, Inclusion programs in part due to President Trump’s executive orders but also in part because the fruit of the project was disastrous, leading to inept policy decisions, poor products, and even worse public service nightmares.
Now, the market must prepare to use AI tools, invest in AI development, and serve what will be the fastest growing market in the world, the AI service industry market. This market will emerge from the needs of the AI industry. This will be the support industry for the AI industry.
The need for merit-based expertise to develop AI products and services will lead industries further away from wokeness, but not necessarily towards Americanism. Rather, the oligarchs will seek a new quasi-religion to help them usher in the age of AI.
Their failure to secure the market, especially the market’s cultural production, could be catastrophic if it comes at such a time as now when it needs to quickly pivot to a new angels and demons narrative without enraging the supporters of their last angels and demons narrative, wokeness (with the white race serving as both the white devil and the white savior).
As more states seek to make gold legal tender, suspicion mounts that those in power know something about the dollar we don’t, which is mainly it’s about to lose its world currency status. This will severely limit America’s current ability to print new currency, which means this; just as some high interest payments come due on our ballooning debt, the state will be constricted in its real yearly revenue spending. Hard decisions will need to be made.
The leading edge of sci-tech is AI, drone tech, and 3D-Printing (in various forms, including bio-printing). The engine of all tech is now AI (or one of its variations), and AI needs resources. These resources include land, rare earth minerals, and intelligent people who can freely explore potentials. These needs will drive the sci-tech industry as a whole, and that includes social media.
Anti-AI governance social media alternatives may soon emerge in response to what is most likely going to be an overreliance on AI as a governor. This year, social media platforms will either learn the limits of AI or succeed in consolidating enough power to gaslight us into thinking the experience hasn’t been terrible.
We suspect the oligarchs are hoping AI can help destroy the millions of “news reporters” on social media by simply making it unprofitable for them (through filtering them out of search results, for instance).
We suspect a year of increasingly excellent AI slop will lead to a vanguard of “humancraft” movements that will provide economic opportunities for humans willing to create content such as this without any significant AI aid (for this report, the aid is limited to searches, since they work better than google now does).
The real ongoing story in sci-tech is the war between the oligarchs and the technological reality of power that individuals and small-scale associations can increasingly provide their own excellent level of products and services to meet most of their wants and needs.
This means the advantage of large-scale efficiency in exchange for less sovereign diversity is no longer in play since the small-scale can now compete with the large scale in product and service excellence.
The last four decades have been a race against time by the oligarchs to allow technology to advance without allowing it to make their large-scale monopolies of power redundant and feckless in the face of hundreds of self-sustaining small-scale free associations. That war is about to be decided within the next few years. The decades that follow will be defined by the winner in the war today between small-scale sovereignty and large-scale absolute control.
SYNTHESIS SUMMARY
For the world, the death of the American Pax is official, as Trump has made all previous contracts null and void. This is how the year began. Now, as the year closes, the world is coming to grips with that new reality, seeking new opportunities and identifying new threats. The old discourse is about to fall away, and new discourses are about to emerge. The left was almost right when it saw “the end of history” coming.
In one sense, Hegel’s idea of a history progressing towards a completed whole might be unfolding before our very eyes, but not in the way Hegel imagined it. We are not seeing the end of history, but rather, we are seeing the end of the enlightenment itself, a movement he was instrumental in fueling.
The “whole” that we are getting to is the demystification of the justification for state authority over our lives, which came about through our increasingly shared experiences in real time across digital spans that touched real physical places across the world. We felt the reality while our leaders, our media, our corporate executives, all denied it and punished us for living it, for speaking it.
The justification for the state’s authority, that it is a “necessary evil” to protect us from greater evils is dead after Covid. It will only be invigorated if the means of cultural production continue to be controlled by the elite few.
Covid-19 could be seen as the bellwether of this reality, where everyone around the world was going through the same exact emergency and everyone who was paying attention could see just how blatant the lies were from our own governments in the face of that emergency, and how much every institution, the press, the schools, the sciences, etc., confirmed that unreality.
These lies led to deaths, millions of deaths, deaths that touched almost everyone on the face of the planet. The end of history, in a sense, was Covid-19. This year, we see the inchoate stage between the death of one history, the men of letters overcoming suffering and death (the promise of the enlightenment), and the birth of another, one which has yet to be decided, let alone told.
President Trump’s Presidency represents that final break with the old order, but not without baggage from that same old order.
PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS
President Trump’s presidency represents a type of transition in which whatever comes next will retain much of what came before it, in part symbolically alone, and in part in very meaningful, powerful ways.
So far, one part of the old civilization which most competing civilizations are retaining is the support for the murdering of the unborn.
President Trump appears to want to take much of the deep state with him, just under his command, and the command of his MAGA predecessors.
The “right” appears to want to use woke tactics against anyone who even suggests Israel is bad, or Israel is good, while the left fully embraces the illogical conclusion of the enlightenment, post-structural gobbledygook, that has already killed millions.
Worldwide, each country has its own unique opportunities to throw off the shackles of the old order without giving way to something far worse.
Here in America our vehicle of power to combat the old order without letting in something worse is Americanism itself, but one not justified by anything other than a pragmatic agreement between peaceful communities to not use violence as a means to advance the beliefs of your free association community.
In order for this “justification” to work, citizenship has to be consensual, not compulsory.
We believe more and more people will come to see this as a natural potential solution to “restore” the American republic without restoring the naturalist justifications for her existence (in other words, without restoring liberalism, which allegedly got us into this mess in the first place).
We believe a plurality of “citizens” today are Americans. Many of them know it and understand this America is no longer following that American spirit. Many, many more don’t know it yet and don’t fully understand America is no longer America, or why that is.
But the check is in the mail, and many more people this year will discover their Americanism and the difference between them and the competing nation within, Progmerica, the daughter of the DNC and the GOP, with great assistance from foreign powers, including China, Russia, Israel, and Saudi Arabia.
The question is, will it be in time to stop what’s coming in the 2026 election, which would be the return to power of the DNC in the House? If it isn’t, what follows in 2027 will accelerate the creation of Americans as the DNC continues to overplay its hand whenever it has opportunity to do so.
If not, the 2026 election could be the beginning of the real end of the DNC and the RNC’s hold on America and the rise of new ACTUAL American parties, but that’s a lot to ask for in a year.
