02c U.S. Politics – Election

Kamala Harris Is Facing Severe Deficits Among Core Democratic Voter Groups– townhall.com
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Kamala Harris wants another debate, whereas Trump said, ‘No mas.’ Some commented on how this was a tactical blunder for Trump—he should have demanded a debate on Fox News and waited for Harris to reject it. Whatever the case, Harris and her allies in the media are likely to waste a lot of time calling Trump a coward. Let them. Ms. Harris has severe deficits among crucial Democratic Party voter groups that spell disaster with less than 60 days from Election Day.

Harris is running behind Joe Biden’s numbers regarding black and Jewish voters. Right now, Trump is projected to win 18 percent of the black vote, the largest share for a Republican since Richard Nixon in 1972. As for Jewish voters, she’s gearing to earn the lowest share for any Democrat since Michael Dukakis.

RealClear Quick Take – Episode 12

Black Americans comprise roughly 13% of the electorate, and their support has been crucial to the Democratic Party for decades. Recent polls suggest they may not be as excited for Kamala Harris.

Does Kamala Harris have a Black voter problem?… pic.twitter.com/M67brk1MFe

— RealClearPolitics (@RCPolitics) September 11, 2024

Taunting Trump might not have been what undecided voters wanted to see from Harris– www.washingtonexaminer.com
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The question now becomes whether Harris’s well-executed plan of irritating Trump and joining with the moderators and Trump himself to draw attention to his negatives was what the voters she most needs really wanted.

Trump pollsters Tony Fabrizio and Travis Tunis say that, according to their data from the top seven battleground states, the answer is no. “We found that despite the best efforts of Kamala Harris and [the] media to portray the debate as some kind of overwhelming win for her, voters did not see it this way as support for her remained flat,” they wrote in a memo released on Thursday. “The only change we saw was a 2-point bump for President Trump in both ballot configurations.”

“In our post-debate data, President Trump leads Vice President Harris by 2-points, 48% – 46%, and in the head-to-head ballot, he is up 3-points, 50% – 47%,” Fabrizio and Tunis continued. “Clearly, target state voters were not impressed by Kamala Harris’ empty platitudes and while the media would have people believe she is cruising to victory, this couldn’t be farther from the truth.” Their predebate numbers, they said, showed the two candidates tied.

Shocker: 60% of voters moved to Trump after Kamala Harris’s failure to answer one important question– www.louderwithcrowder.com
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The debate is over. Trump lost the debate. It’s ok to admit that. It doesn’t make you an anti-Trump op sent by the deep state to say so. It’s time to move on to what’s next. The good thing is that while she may have won on style points, Kamala Harris didn’t blow anyone away outside of journalisming employees. And while the moderators asked about topics that don’t matter to Normie-America, normies are STILL concerned about the economy.

Kamala didn’t address the economy. During Reuters focus groups of undecided voters, SIXTY PERCENT moved to Trump as a result.

Out of their focus group of ten people, six saw nothing from Kamala to assure them that the next four years would be any different from the last four. It echoed what we heard from a CNN group:

My life was better when Trump was in office. The economy was better. Inflation was lower. Things were better overall. And now, with Kamala’s administration, things haven’t been so fantastic. She’s saying she can fix the problems that her administration has caused, but I don’t know if I can afford to take that risk.

Per Reuters:

Five said they found Harris vague on how she would improve the U.S. economy and deal with the high cost of living. It remains THE top concern for voters.

Four of those six said she didn’t convince them she would be any different than Joe Biden.

ABC News Won’t Say If Debate Was In-Kind Contribution To Harris– thefederalist.com
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Who won the ABC debate-ambush between former President Donald Trump, and the trio of Vice President Kamala Harris, David Muir, and Linsey Davis?

There were two clear winners: the Harris campaign, which was enriched with a massive in-kind donation from ABC in the form of a favorable political infomercial, and the ABC publicity department, which is now boasting about the network’s record viewership.

“With 19 million total viewers on ABC, ABC News’ presidential debate is the most-watched debate on any Network in 16 years,” a company statement said. “ABC News Live on streaming and digital platforms, including Hulu, Disney+ and ABC owned television stations, currently stands at 7.4 million viewers in early reporting, bringing ABC News audience to more than 26 million viewers. The debate is the most-viewed live event by hours streamed on Disney+ in the U.S. to date.”

‘Disgraceful’: ABC News Roasted For Repeatedly Fact-Checking Trump While Letting Kamala Slide– dailycaller.com
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Viewers took to X on Tuesday to criticize ABC News debate moderators Linsey Davis and David Muir for alleged bias against former President Donald Trump during the debate against Vice President Kamala Harris.

Harris and Trump squared off in their first and so-far only scheduled debate as the race between them remains tight. Viewers on X accused the moderators of fact-checking and interrupting Trump significantly more than Harris during the debate.

Post-Debate Poll Explains Harris’ Big Problem, Why Trump Is Now Leading in Michigan – RedState– redstate.com
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I wrote earlier about the new Insider Advantage post-debate poll on Michigan that now shows former President Donald Trump up by one, 49 to 48 percent, with 800 likely voters over Sept 11-12.

📊 MICHIGAN GE: @InsiderPolling

🟥 Trump: 49%
🟦 Harris: 48%
🟪 Other: 1%

#86 (2.0/3.0) | 800 LV | 9/11-12 | ±3.7%https://t.co/qq3iLzWUAS pic.twitter.com/UfrnJ0clIP

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 12, 2024

Kamala’s Condescending and Mocking Debate Faces May Be What Voters Remember– legalinsurrection.com
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… there’s something else I took away from this—and it’s showing on the screen just to the side of me here. One thing I really noticed throughout was the faces that Harris was making—very condescending, very mocking, very childish, actually. I think that’s the one thing I remember more than anything about the debate.

Now, I think Trump did a very good job, even though he didn’t make the points I thought he could have, like showing how she flip-flopped. He hit hard on the border and the economy, and I think that may have a lasting impact.

What’s showing up in the focus groups—ones I’ve seen not by right-wing groups, but CNN, Reuters, NBC—there seems to be a disconnect between who they think won the debate and how they’re reacting substantively.

The House in the Balance? Alaska’s At-Large Race Is Now Neck-and-Neck – RedState– redstate.com
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While Alaska’s issues are frequently of concern primarily to Alaskans, in 2024, our at-large House of Representatives election is drawing some significant national attention. Why is this? Partly because the balance of the House of Representatives is at stake and that might come down to a few seats. It’s also partly due to the complications ranked-choice voting (RCV) has introduced – and how both parties here in the Great Land are dealing with it.

Must Read Alaska’s Suzanne Downing, as usual, brings some excellent local analysis:

Cook Political Report, which analyzes races across the country, has shifted the Alaska U.S. House race from the “Lean Democrat” category to “Toss Up,” in the latest ranking.

The change explains why Democrats, who have their own polling, are now suing the state Division of Elections to save the Rep. Mary Peltola, who is facing Republican Nick Begich in the general election, in her reelection bid.