April 30, 2026

Iran Watch

Blurb:

 

US and Israel Strike Basij Checkpoints in Iran; Hitting ‘the regime’s protest-crushing machine’

The Basij are the paramilitary forces (often voluntary) that serve to enforce Sharia law and civil compliance on the streets. They are a key impediment to protestors coming outside and taking their country back. Iranian activist Nariman Gharib: The IDF and US forces delivered precision strikes, surgically dismantling Basij checkpoints in the heart of Tehran’s streets, the very thugs who beat, arrest, and shoot protesters every single night. No civilian casualties. Just clean, targeted operations. And the people? They’re not hiding. They’re back on the rooftops, voices shaking the city: “Marg bar Basij!” (Death to Basij!) “Marg bar dictator!” (Death to the dictator!) The regime’s own enforcers are being eliminated while the people cheer from the rooftops. The fear is gone. (Gharib).

Similar reports coming out of the west, in the province of Ilam: The IDF says it destroyed major bases of Iran’s internal security forces and the Basij militia in Ilam Province. These are the same forces used by the regime to crush protests and brutalize Iranian civilians. In simple terms: Israel hit the regime’s protest-crushing machine (Mossad).

Blurb:

Oil prices rose back above $100 and stocks sank Thursday as Iran’s attempts to hit supplies in the Middle East and bring down the global economy overshadowed a record release of strategic crude reserves by the International Energy Agency.

Stock markets in Asia closed down Thursday and European markets opened with losses as investors saw few signs the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran would end soon, despite President Trump’s repeated assurances that it would.

U.S. Energy Secretary Christopher Wright announced on Wednesday that the U.S. would release 172 million barrels of oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve, while the International Energy Agency — which has 32 member nations, including the U.S. — announced it would release 400 million barrels from its own reserves.

Blurb:

President Trump addressed reports of Iran potentially launching drone strikes on California.

As WLT Report previously covered, the FBI sent out warnings to dozens of police departments in California, warning that Iran may attempt to attack the West Coast with drones.

In the bulletin, the FBI warned police departments in California to be vigilant of a potential retaliation attack from Iran in the form of military drones.

Blurb:

 

FRANCE 24’s François Picard is pleased to welcome Dr. Rouzbeh Parsi, Adjunct Senior Lecturer at Lund University in Sweden. According to Dr. Parsi, the current political situation in Iran should be approached with caution, too much attention is being paid to the potential rise of Mojtaba Khamenei. Yet the Islamic Republic is not a system built around a single person, especially during a time of war. Decision-making power lies with institutions such as the Revolutionary Guards and the broader security establishment.

This institutional dynamic also complicates efforts to understand Khamenei himself, explains Dr. Parsi. Whether he intends to maintain continuity with the political baseline established by his late father or eventually chart his own course remains difficult to assess. For now, the Islamic Republic is fundamentally focused on survival, and that struggle will likely shape both internal politics and foreign policy.

Militarily, there is also a tendency among outside observers to misinterpret Iranian behaviour. A reduction in missile launches, for example, should not automatically be interpreted as a lack of capability. It may simply reflect a deliberate strategic approach aimed at weakening defensive systems first, thereby increasing the effectiveness of later strikes. Ultimately, Iran’s objective appears to be political as much as military: to demonstrate that attacking Iran carries costs, and to ensure that any eventual negotiations with the United States occur under more serious terms than those previously attempted. And so, Dr. Parsi argues, “the Iranians are going to play this game their own way”.

Blurb:

With jagged cliffs rising from the Arabian Sea, the Strait of Hormuz is striking in its scenery — and these days, its emptiness. This resource superhighway, which normally hosts more than a hundred of the world’s largest oil and liquid natural gas (LNG) tankers every day, has seen no more than a handful all week.

They are the brave ones, daring to run these front lines where U.S. and Iranian naval forces face off. At least 14 commercial vessels have suffered some kind of violent incident, leaving at least eight mariners dead.

Blurb:

Confusion on whether Iran truly needed only “two weeks to four weeks” to make a nuclear weapon, as President Donald Trump suggested on Monday, hangs over the ongoing U.S. and Israeli war on the Persian Gulf nation. Nuclear experts call this claim unlikely—but the confusion may stem from some basics of atomic chemistry.

“There was no evidence that Iran was close to a nuclear weapon,” says Jeffrey Lewis of the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies. His comment echoed those of other experts after the war’s start, as well as statements from International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) chief Rafael Grossi at that time and in 2025 and last year’s “threat assessment” report by U.S. intelligence agencies.

According to an IAEA estimate, as of June 2025, Iran possessed 441 kilograms of 60 percent enriched uranium, where the percentage refers to the share of the isotope uranium 235 (U 235) found in the material. That would be enough for 10 nuclear weapons if the material could be enriched further to full 90 percent weapons-grade concentrations, according to the IAEA. That further enrichment would take a matter of weeks in a fully functioning Iranian nuclear complex, perhaps explaining the time line within Trump’s declaration.

Blurb:

An emergency meeting has been called amid fears over a severe global oil shortage, with petrol prices already surging in the UK. Over 30 members will “assess the current security of supply and market conditions to inform a subsequent decision on whether to make emergency stocks […] available to the market,” IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said in a statement.

Oil prices dropped by more than 11% as markets began anticipating a release of emergency oil reserves, a sharp reversal after prices had surged to nearly $120 per barrel on Monday following the supply disruption. Fatih Birol noted that energy ministers from the Group of Seven nations met earlier on Tuesday to discuss possible responses to the crisis.

Blurb:

The national average price for regular gas continues to soar, reaching $3.578 per gallon on Wednesday morning. The price point marks a 64-cent-per-gallon increase compared to a month ago, according to AAA.

The rise in gas prices over the last month is the largest single monthly increase since 2022, when fuel costs increased by 71 cents per gallon between February and March, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Between the week of February 9, 2026, and March 9, 2026, the average price for regular grade gasoline rose from $2.902 per gallon to $3.502 per gallon, according to the EIA. Moreover, gas prices today are nearly 50 cents per gallon more expensive than a year ago, according to AAA.

Blurb:

To understand modern Iran, you have to go back. That’s because what is happening right now did not begin with President Trump or President Obama or even the Ayatollah Khomeini. It began in the cradle of civilization itself.Persia was one of the greatest civilizations in human history — and its identity runs further back than Islam.

By 550 B.C., Cyrus the Great had built the largest empire the ancient world had ever seen — stretching from Eastern Europe to Asia. Isaiah records that the Lord anointed Cyrus, King of Persia, to release the Jewish people from Babylonian captivity and to fund the rebuilding of the Temple. That is the Persia the modern world has completely forgotten.

The ancient Persians were Zoroastrians, not Muslims. Islam did not arrive until Arab armies conquered the land in the 7th century A.D. The Persians absorbed Islam, but they were never fully Arabic in their customs or culture. They kept their language, their literature, their distinct identity — and they eventually embraced Shia Islam over the Sunni tradition, a distinction that would define centuries of conflict to come.

Blurb:

The leaders of Slovakia, Hungary, and Serbia have long touted their loyalty to President Donald Trump, courting Washington’s conservative wing. But when Trump launched his war with Iran, the mask came off.

Trump has backed Prime Minister Viktor Orban to the hilt as the Hungarian strongman seeks to cling to power in an upcoming election. But that didn’t stop Orban from quickly raising concerns about Trump’s war. Within hours, he raised Hungary’s terrorist threat level, warning that a prolonged Middle East conflict could trigger new waves of migration from Iran through Turkey and the Balkans. “Hungary must prepare and make sure the dam holds,” Orban emphasized.

Blurb:

The U.S. military released striking new footage Tuesday showing American forces systematically destroying major elements of Iran’s naval fleet, offering the public a rare look at the scale of the campaign unfolding across the Persian Gulf and nearby waters. U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) published the video alongside a statement declaring that the strikes are aimed at dismantling Tehran’s ability to threaten international shipping lanes and destabilize the region.

“U.S. forces are degrading the Iranian regime’s ability to project power at sea and harass international shipping,” CENTCOM said. “For years, Iranian forces have threatened freedom of navigation in waters essential to American, regional and global security and prosperity.”

Blurb:

 

Back in 2019, I was excited to report that President Donald Trump had officially launched the “U.S. Space Force,” which would bring the nation’s military space capabilities under one organization.

However, many Democrats, progressives, and Trump-haters derided this development.

The idea was widely mocked when it was first floated, providing fodder for late night hosts, newspaper cartoonists and comedy writers. Senior military officials have previously raised concerns about what it will cost, and former Defense Secretary Jim Mattis warned against rushing into creating the force without clearly defined goals.

Blurb:

The United States military has destroyed several Iranian vessels believed to be capable of laying naval mines near the strategic Strait of Hormuz, according to the US central command, as concerns grow around Tehran’s attempt to disrupt shipping in the critical waterway.In a post on X, the United States central command (CENTCOM) said US forces targeted and destroyed multiple Iranian naval vessels on Tuesday. “US forces eliminated multiple Iranian naval vessels, March 10, including 16 minelayers near the Strait of Hormuz,” the command said, sharing a video showing some of the strikes.The claim followed comments by US president Donald Trump, who earlier said American forces had struck Iranian vessels capable of laying mines in the area. But interestingly, according to Trump 10 vessels were destroyed, contradictory to the military’s claim of 16. In a post on Truth Social, Trump wrote: “I am pleased to report that within the last few hours, we have hit, and completely destroyed, 10 inactive mine-laying boats and/or ships, with more to follow!”

Blurb:

Secretary of War Pete Hegseth promised Tuesday that the Iran war “is not 2003” and will not look like another nation-building, regime-change war like in Iraq.

Giving an update ten days into the war, Hegseth was joined by Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine at the Pentagon.

“This is not 2003. This is not endless nation-building under those types of quagmires we saw under Bush or Obama. It’s not even close,” Hegseth said. “Our generation of soldier will not let that happen again, and nor will this president, who very clearly ran against those kinds of never-ending, nebulously scoped missions — those days are dead.”

Blurb:

Gold Coast, Australia — The Iranian women’s soccer team left Australia minus seven of its members who were granted asylum, after tearful protests of their departure at Sydney Airport and frantic final efforts inside the terminal by Australian officials who sought to ensure the women understood they were being offered asylum.

As the team’s flight time drew nearer and they passed through security late Tuesday, each woman was taken aside to meet alone with officials who explained through interpreters that they could choose not to return to Iran.

Blurb:

DUBAI: Drones fell near Dubai airport, injuring four people, while ships were hit in or near the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday (Mar 11) as Iran kept up its campaign disrupting oil markets and air and maritime traffic.

The oil-rich Gulf has borne the brunt of Iran’s attacks in response to US-Israeli strikes that sparked the Middle East war, with Tehran targeting US assets but also civilian infrastructure.

Iran has also targeted Gulf energy infrastructure and choked shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, which normally carries nearly 20 per cent of global oil production, prompting wild swings in prices.

Blurb:

Iran’s attacks on oil infrastructure and pledges to choke off a vital waterway left markets on edge Tuesday as the United States promised blistering new strikes. The war entered its 11th day with no end in sight as its effects rippled across the Middle East and beyond.

For the first time since the war began, the Pentagon released details on the number of American troops who have been injured, saying eight of the roughly 140 service members wounded are in serious condition.

Both sides sharpened their rhetoric as they dug in, with U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth again promising the most intense strikes yet, while Iran’s leaders ruled out talks and threatened U.S. President Donald Trump.

American intelligence agencies have intercepted encrypted messages from Iran that appear to be “operational trigger(s)” for “sleeper assets.” In the wake of the massive illegal alien invasion under the Biden administration, there is reason to believe this message could be reaching hundreds of teams. DHS Security advisor and Secret Service supervisor Charles Marino suggested the size of those teams could be as much as 20 people.

Blurb:

US Intercepts Iranian Intel Carrying Ominous Warning About Sleeper Cells –  trendingpoliticsnews.com

Iran may be preparing to activate sleeper cells abroad after U.S. intelligence intercepted an encrypted message believed to have originated inside the Islamic Republic, according to an alert reported by ABC News.

The communication was described as an “operational trigger” directed at “sleeper assets” — covert operatives embedded in foreign countries who live quietly among civilians until they are ordered to strike.

U.S. analysts say the coded signal surfaced shortly after Iran’s longtime supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was killed in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike in Tehran on Feb. 28. His son, Mojtaba Khamenei, has since been elevated to the role of supreme leader.

According to the alert, the encrypted message was transmitted across several countries and flagged by American intelligence agencies, which believe it was “likely of Iranian origin” and intended for “clandestine recipients” using passcodes.

Officials said the signal carried “international rebroadcast characteristics,” suggesting it may have been designed to reach operatives already positioned outside Iran’s borders. No specific attack location or operational target has been identified.

The alert noted that the transmissions resemble methods historically used to deliver instructions to “covert operatives or sleeper assets” without relying on internet communications.

IRAN CRIPPLED: New Satellite Images Reveal Devastating Damage Inside Tehran

The signals could “be intended to activate or provide instructions to prepositioned sleeper assets operating outside the originating country,” the alert said, according to ABC News.

The possibility that Iranian sleeper cells may already be inside the United States has heightened concern among security officials as the war enters its second week.

The Daily Mail reported last year on what it described as a passport pipeline involving Iranian-linked operatives traveling through Venezuela before entering Western countries — a potential pathway that could allow networks to establish a foothold near the United States.

Tensions have escalated as fighting between Iran, the United States and Israel intensifies.

The situation reportedly strained relations between Washington and Jerusalem after Israeli forces bombed Iranian oil depots — a move that alarmed White House officials concerned the strike could drive up gasoline prices for Americans.

Security experts warn the threat could come from both lone actors sympathetic to Tehran and organized sleeper networks awaiting orders.

In an interview with the Daily Mail, former Department of Homeland Security adviser and Secret Service supervisor Charles Marino said the United States could be facing a “convergence” of threats.

“Is it possible you have 10, 15, 20 people in the country that are part of a cell that then go out and carry out simultaneous or near-simultaneous attacks? Yes,” Marino said.

IRAN CRIPPLED: New Satellite Images Reveal Devastating Damage Inside Tehran

He warned that terrorists seeking maximum casualties would likely focus on “soft” targets such as concerts, sporting events, public venues and other crowded gatherings.

One looming concern is the upcoming World Cup, which has been designated a National Special Security Event and is expected to draw massive international crowds.

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from trendingpoliticsnews.com

Five of the Iranian national women’s soccer team players have been granted asylum in Australia. This comes after Australia originally signaled it would not grant the women asylum. President Trump put social media pressure on Australia, and even invited the women to the U.S. should Australia let them down.

The women were at risk of being killed when they got home after protesting the regime during a soccer match in Australia. The women refused to sing along with the country’s national anthem. Afterwards, eyewitnesses said they were hand signaling to people they needed to help. Australia’s Home Affairs Minister Tony Burke declared on X, “Last night I was able to tell five women from the Iranian Women’s Soccer team that they are welcome to stay in Australia, to be safe and have a home here.”

Blurb:

5 Iranian women soccer players who sought asylum in Australia allowed to stay, official says – cbsnews.com

Five members of the Iranian national women’s soccer team who sought asylum in Australia a week after refusing to sing Iran’s national anthem before a match will be allowed to stay in the country, according to an Australian official.

“Last night I was able to tell five women from the Iranian Women’s Soccer team that they are welcome to stay in Australia, to be safe and have a home here,” Australia’s Home Affairs Minister Tony Burke said Monday on X.

Burke posted images of him signing a piece of paper alongside the Iranian athletes.

The Department of Home Affairs did not immediately respond to a CBS News request to confirm that the five had applied for or been granted asylum.

Blurb:

Over the weekend, the U.S. lost a seventh service member to injuries sustained in Operation Epic Fury. That service member has been identified as Sgt. Benjamin N. Pennington of Glendale, Kentucky. Pennington was wounded in Iranian strikes in Saudi Arabia.

Vice President Vance boarded Air Force Two to attend the dignified transfer at Dover Air Force base.

He was joined by Secretary of War Pete Hegseth.

Blurb:

TRUMP: WAR TO CONTINUE ‘UNTIL THEY CRY UNCLE’: As the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran enters its tenth day, President Donald Trump is vowing to do “whatever it takes” to compel complete capitulation from whatever is left of Iran’s leadership.

“There will be no deal with Iran except UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER,” Trump posted on Truth Social, Friday. “After that, and the selection of a GREAT & ACCEPTABLE Leader(s), we, and many of our wonderful and very brave allies and partners, will work tirelessly to bring Iran back from the brink of destruction, making it economically bigger, better, and stronger than ever before.”

By Sunday, Iran had announced that 56-year-old Mojtaba Khamenei, a son of Iran’s late supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei — whom Trump had previously declared unacceptable — was named Iran’s next leader.

Speaking to reporters on Air Force One Saturday before the new ruler was announced, Trump said the war was going so well, “at some point I don’t think there will be anybody left, maybe to say ‘we surrender.’ They’re being decimated.”

Asked what an “unconditional surrender” would look like, Trump said, “It is where they cry uncle or when they can’t fight any longer.” If there is “nobody around to cry uncle, because we have wiped out their leadership,” Trump said, it means, “they are rendered useless in terms of military.”

Blurb:

IRAN’S state media has published a warped propaganda video using Lego figures showing targets across the Middle East being blasted.

The unrealistic two-minute clip includes a Lego model of Donald Trump and barrages of missiles blitzing Britain’s RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus.

The propaganda video depicts Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu as Lego figuresCredit: X
It portrayed made-up claims a famed hotel in Dubai was blown up, when it was actually just hit by debrisCredit: X
The far-fetched clip also exaggerates Britain’s base in Cyprus being hitCredit: X

Shared by Tasnim News Agency, which is controlled by the IRGC, it depicts the US president and Israeli leader Benjamin Netanyahu standing with the Devil before a red button is pressed – triggering strikes on Iran.

The far-fetched propaganda then shows Tehran furiously responding with blitzes across the Middle East – with Lego figures running for their lives.

Blurb:

 

Australia was sending those brave girls to a certain death. Until Trump stepped in.

During Iran’s national anthem at the Asia Cup in Australia, several members of Iran’s women’s soccer team stood silently with hands at their sides—refusing to sing. Subsequently, the women signed “SOS” signals as the team boarded a tour bus. They knew a target was on their back. Trump immediately responded: “I call on Australia to grant asylum to these brave women. If Australia won’t do it, the United States will” (Washington Examiner).

Australia responded: The federal government has confirmed five Iranian football players will remain in Australia after seeking asylum. Home Affairs Minister Tony Burke says he met with the women last night and told them they were “welcome to stay in Australia” (ABC.AU).

https://twitter.com/nicksortor/status/2031037703521759371?s=20

Blurb:

Seven American service members are dead, dozens of Iranian children were murdered by a U.S. missile strike, oil is raining from the skies to poison the air for thousands of people living in Iran following an Israeli missile strike, and oil and gas prices worldwide are surging as the war has led to the blockade of a critical waterway used to transport oil.

But hey, at least we have a new Iranian leader who is in some ways worse than the murderous oppressor whom the United States killed a little over a week ago!

Indeed, Iran announced on Sunday that it replaced Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei with his son Mojtaba Khamenei. The 56-year-old religious cleric lost his mother, wife, and a son, as well as his father, to U.S. strikes.

Given his relative youth, Iran’s new supreme leader could have many years left to rein over the nation with an iron fist. That means we spent billions, lost American lives, and potentially decimated the global economy only to put in someone who may in fact be more extreme than the previous guy who brutally oppressed both dissenters and women.

Blurb:

 

My colleague Mary Chastain noted in her recent report that President Donald Trump’s team was weighing a takeover of the critical shipping lane of the Strait of Hormuz, through which a vast amount of global oil supply flows.

This development follows on the heels of continuing military targeting covered by our talented Vijeta Uniyal.

I would like to focus on the Strait for a moment, as I noted in an earlier report that Trump ordered a US agency to provide insurance for companies willing to sail through the region. That plan is moving forward.

The U.S. will provide reinsurance ‌for losses up to $20 billion in the Gulf region, to help provide confidence for oil and gas shippers during the war on Iran, the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation said on Friday.

President Donald Trump on Tuesday ordered the DFC to provide political risk ​insurance and financial guarantees for maritime trade in the Gulf after oil and liquefied natural gas ​tanker transit had ground to a halt in the Strait of Hormuz waterway off ⁠Iran, where ordinarily 20% of global oil moves daily.

Blurb:

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and U.S. President Donald Trump spoke Sunday afternoon in response to escalating global tensions as the Iran war continues to escalate and spread across the region.

The two discussed “the economy, developments in the Middle East, and trade relations between the two countries,” according to a statement from the Prime Minister’s Office.

The two also agreed to “remain in close contact.”

Also on Sunday, the Prime Minister’s Office said Carney gathered the Incident Response Group with ministers and senior officials to discuss the ongoing war in Iran and the Middle East.